There's a betting market building around Jacob Misiorowski starts now, and it's not hard to see why. FanDuel's Rob Friedman flagged him as a Pick of the Day before first pitch, pairing an 8-strikeouts-plus prop on Misiorowski with a 6-plus prop on Justin Wrobleski. That's the kind of prop that used to feel like a reach for a guy in his second full season. For Misiorowski, it's basically the floor.
My Picks of the Day @FDSportsbook Jacob Misiorowski 8Ks+ Justin Wrobleski 6Ks+ https://t.co/BbdWT1Pupa
Then he went out and made the number look conservative. Misiorowski was sitting 103 and touching 104 mph on his fastball early, the kind of velocity that isn't just rare for a starter, it's rare for anybody not throwing 15 pitches an outing out of a bullpen.
Jacob Misiorowski, 104 MPH ⛽️ and 103 MPH ⛽️ https://t.co/LLsBnZopqB
The strikeouts piled up right alongside the velocity. He ran off 5 consecutive strikeouts at one stretch, was up to 7 through 5 innings, then 9 through 6, then a 10th on a well-placed 102 mph fastball. Along the way he mixed in an 89 mph back-foot curveball and a 94 mph slider that look like different pitchers' entire arsenals crammed into one at-bat.
Miz's 2Ks in the 5th. 7Ks thru 5 https://t.co/6YhaIm5RiE
This isn't a one-start outlier, either. Misiorowski entered July leading all of Major League Baseball in strikeouts, ERA, WHIP and opponent batting average, and he's already had multiple double-digit strikeout games this season. He debuted with the Brewers in June 2025 by throwing 5 no-hit innings against St. Louis, got voted to the All-Star Game just weeks later as the fastest player in league history to make it that quickly, and has spent this season proving that wasn't a fluke. He's back on the All-Star roster again this year, even if his rotation schedule makes it unlikely he actually pitches in the game.
The year-over-year jump in velocity is the real story underneath all of this. One clip stacked his posture and arm slot from 99 mph last season against 104 mph this year side by side, and the difference is obvious even before you check the radar gun. Add strength and better mechanics to a 6-foot-7 frame that was already touching triple digits as a rookie, and you get a pitcher who's redefining what's physically possible for a starter.
Jacob Misiorowski, 99mph (2025) and 104mph (2026). Posture differences...and did not skip leg day. https://t.co/B4mIO728m2
The numbers back up just how alone he is up there. Codify Baseball tracked 102-plus mph pitches thrown by MLB starters this season and the count reads: Misiorowski 213, everyone else 0. That's not a leaderboard, that's a category of one.
Codify Baseball's season-long tracking shows Misiorowski has thrown 213 pitches at 102-plus mph this year — every other MLB starter combined has thrown zero.
Book the Ks prop while you still can. The market hasn't fully priced in what a 6-foot-7 arm with a 104 mph fastball and swing-and-miss secondaries is capable of every 5th day, and until it does, Misiorowski starts are going to keep printing for anyone paying attention.