Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins

Thu Jul 9 · 12:40 PM CT
By Pablo SanchezUpdated 17m ago·2 min read
Cleveland GuardiansCLE
Minnesota TwinsMIN
AT
12:40 PM CT

Cleveland's held its ground near .500 all year, but a road trip through Minnesota without Jose Ramirez is exactly the kind of series that tests a lineup's depth.

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Cleveland's the better overall team on paper even without Ramirez, and Williams gives them a real starting-pitching edge over a rookie in Paredes who just got knocked around by the Yankees. The Guardians dropped 2 straight to Chicago, but a bounce-back spot against a shorthanded Twins rotation makes sense.

Guardians
  • Better overall record than Twins at 47-44
  • Bullpen ranks 4th in MLB in ERA
  • Williams posting a solid 3.89 ERA
  • Dropped last 2 straight to White Sox
  • Missing Jose Ramirez, their best hitter, until after ASG
  • Lineup ranks near bottom of MLB in wRC+
Twins
  • Won 2 of last 3, including blowout wins over Yankees
  • Buxton still an All-Star bat when healthy
  • Improving form entering the series finale
  • Rotation gutted by IL stints (Ober, Abel, Festa, Lopez)
  • Paredes was rocked in his last start
  • Buxton day-to-day again with recurring hip issue

Gavin Williams (9-4, 3.89) gets the ball for Cleveland looking to salvage the finale after Chicago took 2 of 3 from the Guardians at home. On the other side, Mike Paredes (0-2, 4.60) is still writing his rookie story on the fly, an 18th-round afterthought who got thrust into the Twins rotation out of pure necessity.

Paredes' last outing against the Yankees was a rough one — 4 innings, 4 hits, 3 earned runs, a loss — and it's fair to wonder how much rope Minnesota gives a guy who wasn't even in their top 30 prospects two months ago. Cleveland's lineup, meanwhile, is playing shorthanded with Jose Ramirez still working his way back from hand surgery and not expected until after the All-Star break.

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CLE Guardians
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Both clubs are hovering around .500, which says less about who's good and more about who's banged up. The Twins just took 2 of 3 from the Yankees, including an 11-4 laugher and a 6-1 win to close it out, so Minnesota's actually playing its best baseball of the last two weeks heading into Thursday's series finale.

Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians
Jul 8?@ Twins
Jul 7?@ Twins
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins
Jul 8?vs Guardians
Jul 7?vs Guardians
Recent form.

The bigger concern in Minnesota isn't the offense, it's the pitching depth. Bailey Ober, Mick Abel, David Festa and Pablo Lopez are all on extended injured-list stints, and now Zebby Matthews is day-to-day after a foot laceration cut his last start short. That's how a converted afterthought like Paredes ends up starting a series finale in July.

Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Injury report — info via ESPN.

Byron Buxton's hip issue adds another layer of uncertainty for Minnesota. He's been in and out of the lineup with the same hip flaring up twice this season, and after aggravating it again over the weekend, Thursday's status is worth watching for a Twins offense that leans on him for thump up top.

Cleveland's counting on its bullpen to bail out a lineup that's missing its best hitter — Ramirez was hitting at a 131 wRC+ clip before the hand injury, easily the Guardians' top bat. Without him, Kyle Manzardo and Steven Kwan have to carry more weight than usual, and that's a real swing factor for whether Cleveland can close this series out on the road.

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