Walker Buehler gets the ball for the Padres opposite Trevor Rogers in the 1:35 PM ET getaway game. Buehler (3-3, 4.33) has been a different pitcher since a brutal opening stretch — 11 earned over his last 6 starts after coughing up 19 in his first 7 — while Rogers (3-6, 6.15) has finally given Baltimore something resembling stability, holding opponents to 1 and 3 runs in his last 2 outings after a 7-start run where he got rocked in 6 of them. The bigger backdrop is two teams that have flipped scripts. San Diego was 31-20 and looked like an NL contender, then went 4-12 over a 16-game stretch that included a pair of sweeps by the Phillies. Baltimore was 8 games under .500 on May 20 and has clawed back to 12-8 since, including back-to-back wins over Seattle to close out the homestand. Manny Machado, the franchise face Baltimore drafted and traded, is a career .278 hitter with an .871 OPS in 13 games against his old club. The injury sheet is doing a lot of talking in this one. The Orioles are missing Jordan Westburg (Tommy John), Ryan Mountcastle, Zach Eflin, Dean Kremer, Cade Povich, and Chris Bassitt — the rotation has been so thinned out that top prospect Trey Gibson got recalled from Norfolk to plug a hole earlier in the week. Bassitt is eligible to return around June 20, so Baltimore is asking Rogers to keep the recent form going without much margin underneath him. San Diego isn't exactly whole either. Xander Bogaerts is on the paternity list, Jake Cronenworth (concussion) is still ramping up, Luis Campusano is catching bullpens, and the rotation is down Yu Darvish, Joe Musgrove, Nick Pivetta, German Marquez, and Matt Waldron. Mike Shildt has been piecing it together, and the walk-off in Cincinnati on Wednesday — their first series win since late May — is the only real momentum they're carrying into this road trip. Sunday's finale closes a 3-game set and opens a 9-game road swing for the Padres. Camden's a fair park, the wind tends to play, and with both starters living somewhere between "figuring it out" and "don't trust it yet," the bullpens probably decide this one. Baltimore's been getting late life from its offense in the Seattle series — 7 runs in each of the last two wins — and that's the storyline to track if Rogers gets through 5.