Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Phillies in the Saturday tilt opposite Brewers lefty Shane Drohan. Nola's 5.86 ERA is ugly on paper, but he's the guy Philly trusts in spots like this — and Drohan's been quietly effective at a 3.11 mark with a manageable workload. First pitch is 6:10 PM CT. The records do most of the talking heading in. Milwaukee is 41-25 and sitting on top of the NL Central; Philadelphia is 37-31 and grinding through a stretch where they took 2 of 3 from Toronto on the road before flying west. The Phillies have won 3 of their last 5, the Brewers dropped the last 2 in Oakland — a good time to catch the home club coming off back-to-back losses to the Athletics, including a 4-3 stinker. The injury sheet is where this game gets interesting. Johan Rojas is done for the year with the elbow UCL tear, which puts more pressure on Adolis Garcia (day-to-day, but coming off a 2-for-4, solo HR night) to anchor the outfield. Milwaukee's bullpen, meanwhile, is a war zone — Trevor Megill wasn't available Monday with oblique tightness, DL Hall isn't back until late July, and Brian Fitzpatrick is waiting on a Tommy John verdict. If this turns into a bullpen game, advantage Philadelphia. Series context matters here too. The Phillies caught a break in Game 1 facing Jacob Misiorowski — the breakout rookie carrying a 1.50 ERA and 116 punchouts — so Saturday is the get-back spot. Drohan doesn't have Misiorowski's stuff, and Nola has been a different pitcher when he can keep the ball in the yard. Milwaukee's lineup hasn't needed elite starting pitching all season because they're scoring in bunches (15 runs in one game against the A's last week tells you everything about the offense). Bottom line: Brewers are the better team, but the Saturday matchup tilts more neutral than the records suggest. Philly's playing for series-saving leverage in a building where the Brewers have been near unbeatable. Should be a tight one.