Seattle Mariners at Tampa Bay Rays

Sun Jul 12 · 1:40 PM ET
By Pablo SanchezUpdated 12h ago·2 min read
Seattle MarinersSEA
Tampa Bay RaysTB
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1:40 PM ET

The hottest hitter in baseball and the hottest team in the league host a Seattle club that's lost the plot offensively — this one's lopsided on paper before it starts.

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Tampa Bay enters as the hottest team in the sport, riding a 9-game winning streak with Caminero doing things no player his age has ever done. Seattle's without its best position player and hasn't named a starter, which says everything about the roster crunch. This is about as clean a moneyline lean as this series offers.

Mariners
  • Logan Gilbert, Luis Castillo have pitched well vs Tampa this series
  • Won 2 of 3 vs Toronto before this trip
  • Julio Rodriguez out on concussion IL
  • Lost 3 of last 5, offense sputtering in Miami
  • No confirmed starter for this game
Rays
  • 9-game winning streak, first place in AL East
  • Junior Caminero in historic home-run stretch
  • Seymour fanned 12 in last start
  • Multiple bullpen arms still on 60-day IL
  • Matz, Fraley, Lux all working back from injury

Tampa Bay's pitching staff has been the forgotten story behind Junior Caminero's power surge, and Sunday it's Ian Seymour (6-1, 4.11) trying to close out a series sweep. Seattle counters with a TBD starter, which tells you plenty about where the Mariners' rotation depth stands heading into this getaway-day matinee.

Seymour's last time out against the Yankees was about as good as it gets for a back-of-rotation arm: 5.1 innings, 3 earned, 12 strikeouts and zero walks on 94 pitches. That's a swing-and-miss look the Mariners' banged-up lineup can't afford to see, especially with their outfield picture as thin as it's been all season.

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The Rays have won 2 of their last 5 after a rough start to the stretch, but that undersells how they've played since — Tampa Bay steamrolled into this series a first-place team, powered by a lineup that no longer has a single weak link with Caminero doing what he's doing. Seattle, meanwhile, has dropped 3 of its last 5, including a pair of one-run and shutout losses in Miami that speak to an offense searching for answers.

Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners
Jul 11?@ Rays
Jul 10?@ Rays
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 11?vs Mariners
Jul 10?vs Mariners
Recent form.

Julio Rodriguez's absence looms largest for Seattle. He's been on the 7-day concussion IL since taking a throw off the head running the bases, and with Brendan Donovan, Rob Refsnyder and a pile of bullpen arms also down, manager Dan Wilson is patching together a lineup missing several everyday pieces. Cooper Criswell and Carlos Vargas are both out until at least the trade deadline, which has forced Seattle to lean harder on a taxed bullpen.

Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners
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Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Injury report — info via ESPN.

Tampa Bay isn't fully healthy either — Steven Matz, Jake Fraley and Gavin Lux are all working back from injury — but none of it has slowed a Rays team that's steamrolled the league en route to a 9-game winning streak stretch and first place in the AL East. Caminero's tear (11 home runs in his last 12 games) has turned Tropicana Field at-bats into appointment viewing, and it's hard to find a version of this series where Seattle's offense keeps pace.

Add it up and this reads like a mismatch: a rolling, healthy-enough Rays club with the game's hottest hitter against a Mariners team playing shorthanded and without a defined starter. Seattle's saving grace has been flashes of dominant pitching — Logan Gilbert and Luis Castillo have both looked sharp against Tampa Bay this series — but one good arm a day hasn't been enough to slow this Rays lineup.

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