Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers

Wed Jul 8 · 7:10 PM PT
By Pablo SanchezUpdated 11h ago·2 min read
Colorado RockiesCOL
Los Angeles DodgersLAD
AT
7:10 PM PT

The Dodgers are running away with the NL West and the Rockies are just trying to survive July. This one's shaping up as another lopsided chapter in a series LA already owns.

Bush’s PicksPicks madeJul 7, 4:14 AM CT
+246COLLAD-260-276
+121COL +1.5LAD -1.5-123-134
-113-107Over 9.5Under 9.5-105
Best BetDodgers -276

The Dodgers are heavily favored here, and the pitching matchup backs it up — Wrobleski's been one of the better arms in the league while Lorenzen is fighting for his rotation spot. LA's price reflects a real gap in both roster quality and health. Backing the Rockies as an outright upset play is tough to justify given how one-sided this pitching matchup looks on paper.

Rockies
  • Won 3 of last 5, two blowout wins
  • Young core (Holliday, Veen, Fernandez) getting reps
  • Front office stability under Schaeffer
  • 37-55, one of baseball's worst records
  • Lorenzen 3-9, 6.91 ERA, rotation spot in doubt
  • Trails Dodgers in season series
Dodgers
  • 60-32, running away with NL West
  • Wrobleski breakout arm, 2.80 ERA
  • Won 4 of last 5
  • Rotation gutted: Snell, Glasnow, Miller, Stone, Knack all hurt
  • Edman out again, Smith and Hernandez still working back
  • Just snapped a win streak losing to Padres

Wrobleski (10-2, 2.80) gets the ball for the Dodgers at 7:10 PM PT, and Lorenzen (3-9, 6.91) counters for a Rockies club that's lost 5 of its last 8 series openers against LA this year.

The Dodgers are doing this without half their projected rotation. Blake Snell, Tyler Glasnow, Bobby Miller, Gavin Stone and Landon Knack are all hurt, and Dave Roberts has leaned on internal arms to plug the gaps. Wrobleski is the best of that bunch — an 11th-round pick who won the fifth-starter job in April and never gave it back. Enrique Hernandez and Will Smith are also working back from injury, and Tommy Edman is out again Tuesday with the foot and ankle issue that's nagged him.

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7:10 PM PT
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COL Rockies
LAD Dodgers

Colorado's issues run deeper than one banged-up lineup. Lorenzen has been one of the worst regulars in baseball this season, and the Rockies as a whole are still hunting for their first signature stretch of the year. The gap between these two rosters shows up everywhere from the standings to the injury report, and the sportsbooks have noticed.

Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Injury report — info via ESPN.

Give the Rockies some credit for the last week. They put up 14 and 15 runs in back-to-back games against the Marlins and Giants, a reminder that the young core — Ethan Holliday, Zac Veen, Yanquiel Fernandez — can occasionally get hot all at once. But that offense has also been streaky enough to lose the very next game each time, and Monday's 8-7 loss to the Dodgers fit the pattern: score plenty, still find a way to lose.

Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
Recent form.

Lorenzen's last time out was ugly — 4.1 innings, 4 earned runs and 6 walks against Miami, the kind of start that's fueled real speculation he could get squeezed out of the rotation before the trade deadline. Wrobleski, meanwhile, is coming off an 11-strikeout, no-walk gem against the A's. That's about as wide a gap as you'll find between two starters in the same game, and it's a big reason the Dodgers are prohibitive favorites here.

None of this changes the bigger picture. The Dodgers are chasing a historic pace at 60-32, and this series is one more chance to pad the NL West lead. The Rockies are just trying to find something — anything — to build on before the calendar flips to August.

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