The Rockies and Giants are a combined 40 games under .500, but at least Colorado can say it's not historically bad this time around.
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Colorado's actually won the recent head-to-head battles in this series, and Lorenzen has quietly stabilized after a brutal start to his season. With San Francisco still not settled on a starter and coming off back-to-back blowout losses to Toronto, there's value in backing the Rockies to steal one on the road.
Rockies
+Won last head-to-head series against this Giants team
+Lorenzen stabilizing, 4 of last 5 starts strong
+15 wins better than 2025's historic pace
−Rotation gutted: Quintana, Sugano, Dollander all out
−Goodman and Doyle both unavailable/limited
−Bullpen thinned by Halvorsen, Castano, Hill injuries
Giants
+Blew Toronto out 10-1 earlier in the same week
+Ramos capable of multi-homer, 5-RBI nights
+Home field for the getaway-day finale
−Just got no-hit for 8 innings by Toronto
−No starter named yet for this game
−Chapman, Susac, Bader all still working back from IL
Michael Lorenzen takes the ball for Colorado on Sunday looking to build off a five-strikeout, six-inning no-decision against the Dodgers on July 7. San Francisco still hasn't named its starter for the series finale, so file that one under TBD until the lineup card drops.
Lorenzen's ERA sits at 6.46, but he's actually settled in lately — four of his last five starts have gone at least five innings, a real change of pace from the disaster stretch that inflated that number in the first place. San Francisco, meanwhile, has spent the last week getting shelled by Toronto, dropping the final two games of that set 9-3 and 10-0, with Dylan Cease tossing eight no-hit innings against them on July 8.
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COL Rockies
SF Giants
Neither team has much to play for beyond pride at this point — the Giants are 38-54 and the Rockies 38-56, both buried deep in the NL West. But Colorado's actually a story worth watching this year: after finishing 43-119 in 2025, the worst season in franchise history, this group is a full 15 wins better through the same stretch. That's not a good team. It's a less catastrophic one, and for the Rockies right now, that counts as progress.
Colorado Rockies
Jul 11?@ Giants—
Jul 10?@ Giants—
San Francisco Giants
Jul 11?vs Rockies—
Jul 10?vs Rockies—
Recent form.
The injury sheets on both sides are long and ugly. Colorado is without Hunter Goodman behind the plate and still nursing Brenton Doyle back from an oblique issue, while its rotation has been gutted — Jose Quintana, Tomoyuki Sugano and Chase Dollander are all on the shelf, with Dollander recently undergoing an internal brace procedure that ends his year. San Francisco has its own mess: Matt Chapman, Daniel Susac and Harrison Bader are all still working back from IL stints, and the bullpen has taken hits from Jason Foley and Rowan Wick both being out long-term.
Colorado Rockies
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Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
San Francisco Giants
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Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Injury report — info via ESPN.
Recent results tell a coin-flip story. The Rockies just took two of three in Denver from these same Giants before dropping two of three to the Dodgers, while San Francisco split its last five with a blowout win and two blowout losses mixed in. Whoever finds a way to string together quality innings from the bullpen in this getaway-day matinee probably walks away with it — neither offense looks scary enough to just outslug the other.
Kyle Karros and Jake McCarthy have provided a little juice for Colorado's lineup in this series already, with McCarthy's grand slam and Karros' career-long homer both coming against San Francisco pitching in the past two weeks. If either of them gets going again Sunday, that's probably the difference.
