Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles

Sun Jul 12 · 1:35 PM ET
By Pablo SanchezUpdated 12h ago·2 min read
Kansas City RoyalsKC
Baltimore OriolesBAL
AT
1:35 PM ET

Two teams going nowhere in the standings meet for a Sunday getaway game, but the Royals have actually looked alive lately — which is more than you can say for the stumbling Orioles.

Bush’s Picks
KCBAL
KCBAL
OverUnder
Best BetOrioles

Baz has actually been the better arm of these two lately, and Baltimore gets the extra advantage of the last at-bat at Camden Yards. Lugo's meltdown in his last start against the Mets is a real red flag for a Royals rotation that's already down two starters to injury. The Orioles' recent skid is more about bullpen letdowns than starting pitching, which matters more in a game their starter should control longer.

Royals
  • Won 3 of last 5, including 2 blowout wins
  • Offense has shown it can erupt against shaky pitching
  • Lugo cratered in last start, 6 ER in 4.1 IP
  • Rotation down two starters, Ragans and Bubic
Orioles
  • Baz's last start was his best of this stretch
  • Better overall record, home field for finale
  • Lost 3 straight entering this series
  • Bullpen down Helsley and Akin, both seeking opinions

Seth Lugo (3-6, 4.56 ERA) gets the ball for Kansas City looking to erase the memory of his last outing, while Shane Baz (4-9, 4.21 ERA) takes the mound for Baltimore trying to build on a start that was actually solid by his 2026 standards.

Baz has quietly been better than his record suggests — he went 6 full innings against the Cubs on July 7, needing exactly 100 pitches to get there, and only 3 earned runs crossed the plate. The loss was more about a shaky bullpen and offense than anything Baz did wrong. Lugo doesn't have that excuse from his last time out: he lasted just 4.1 innings against the Mets on July 7 and got hammered for 6 earned runs on 9 hits, needing 94 pitches to barely get through the fourth.

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KC Royals
BAL Orioles

Both rotations are running on fumes behind their Sunday starters. Kansas City has already lost Cole Ragans to Tommy John surgery and Kris Bubic to a cortisone shot, while Baltimore is nursing Chris Bassitt back from a back procedure and Zach Eflin from his own elbow reconstruction. Neither bullpen is much healthier, which is part of why both dugouts would love to see length from their guy Sunday.

The Royals arrive off a wild stretch that says more about their offense finding a pulse than their pitching turning a corner. They dropped a game to the Phillies, then reeled off 3 straight wins — including a 15-1 demolition of Philadelphia and a 16-12 slugfest win in Queens — before the bullpen let them down in the finale against the Mets. That's a lineup capable of erupting, even without Vinnie Pasquantino and Maikel Garcia both banged up.

Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals
Jul 11?@ Orioles
Jul 10?@ Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
Jul 11?vs Royals
Jul 10?vs Royals
Recent form.

Baltimore's version of momentum looks the opposite. The O's won 2 in a row against Cincinnati to open their last stretch, then dropped 3 straight, including a 7-9 shootout loss to the Cubs where the bullpen simply couldn't hold a lead. Ryan Helsley and Keegan Akin are both out seeking second opinions on their elbows, which has left Baltimore's relief corps thinner than it wants to be down the stretch.

Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Injury report — info via ESPN.

Neither team is playing for much beyond pride and roster evaluation at this point, with the Royals sitting at 38-55 and the Orioles not much better at 42-51. But if the last week is any indication, Sunday's finale in Baltimore has a real shot at turning into another track meet rather than a pitcher's duel.

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