Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays

Sat Jul 18 · 3:07 PM ET
By Pablo SanchezUpdated 20m ago·2 min read
Chicago White SoxCWS
Toronto Blue JaysTOR
AT
3:07 PM ET

The best story in baseball meets a defending league champion that can't get out of its own way — and it's happening at Rogers Centre.

Bush’s Picks
CWSTOR
CWSTOR
OverUnder
Best BetWhite Sox

This is a form-line pick as much as anything — Chicago just outscored Oakland 24-2 over a sweep and has been the AL's hottest team since mid-April, while Toronto's offense has looked stuck in mud behind a career-worst season from Guerrero. The Blue Jays still have the pedigree to flip a switch, but right now the White Sox are simply playing better baseball on both sides of the ball.

White Sox
  • tied for first in the AL Central at the break
  • 29-17 since mid-April, best mark in the AL
  • power trio has combined for 60-plus homers
  • Ky Bush and Drew Thorpe both out long-term on elbows
  • bullpen down four relievers to injury
  • just got swept by Boston before the A's series
Blue Jays
  • only 2.5 games back of a wild card spot
  • capable of blowout wins, put up 9 and 10 runs on Giants
  • defending AL champion talent still on the roster
  • last in the AL East, 12 games back of Tampa Bay
  • Guerrero hitting a career-low .703 OPS
  • 11-17 in one-run games all season

Saturday's series opener is set for 3:07 PM ET, though neither club has locked in a starter yet. That's not a coincidence — Chicago's rotation is largely intact at the top, while Toronto's has been gutted by injuries all year, and it shows in how differently these two teams are trending with the All-Star break in the rearview.

The Blue Jays' issues start with the guy making $500 million to be the middle of the order. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is hitting .262 with a career-low .703 OPS, and with Bo Bichette's absence still a sore subject, Toronto's lineup has looked nothing like the one that carried them to a World Series a year ago. Add in Max Scherzer rehabbing his way back from a back issue and Jose Berrios out for the year after Tommy John, and it's easy to see why the Jays are 11-17 in one-run games this season.

Show fees
3:07 PM ET
Spread
ML
Total
CWS White Sox
TOR Blue Jays

Meanwhile Chicago just finished torching a truly dreadful Athletics club, extending Oakland's losing streak to 9 games in the process. That's the kind of series that pads a stat line, but it also caps off a stretch where the White Sox have gone 29-17 since mid-April — tied for the best mark in the American League over that span, and enough to push them into a share of first place in the AL Central at the break.

Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox
Jul 17?@ Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 17?vs White Sox
Recent form.

Nobody saw this White Sox season coming after three straight 100-loss campaigns, but the power has been real. Colson Montgomery, Miguel Vargas and Munetaka Murakami have each cleared 20 homers, and rookie Tristan Peters — who hit for the cycle from the 9-hole earlier this month — just got tabbed for the All-Star Game. Ace Davis Martin takes a 9-4 record and 3.41 ERA into the second half, giving Chicago the kind of top-of-the-rotation stability Toronto would kill for right now.

Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Injury report — info via ESPN.

Toronto still isn't dead — at 45-51 they're only 2.5 games back of the final AL Wild Card spot, and this same lineup put up 9 and 10 runs against the Giants earlier this month. But they're last in the AL East, 12 games behind Tampa Bay, and with the trade deadline landing August 3, a rough week could push Toronto's front office from buying to selling. This series is as much about direction as it is about the final score.

MLBChicago White SoxToronto Blue JaysPinnaclePolymarketKalshi