New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays

By Bush StaffUpdated 69d ago·2 min read
New York YankeesNYY(42-27)
Toronto Blue JaysTOR(34-37)
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NYY
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TOR
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The Yankees just walked into Toronto and split the first two with a depleted lineup, which tells you most of what you need to know about the state of the AL East. New York is 42-27 and rolling. Toronto is 34-37 and still trying to figure out who it is. First pitch is 1:37 PM ET for the rubber match.

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FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Yankees(42-27)
WLWWW
8
Blue Jays(34-37)
LWLWL
3
Best BetYankees -128
Pregame

Warren at -125 is a fair price for the gap between these two starters, and that's before you factor in Corbin's June and the Vlad Jr. question mark. The Jays' implied 45.8% feels generous given they're trotting out the worse rotation arm against a healthier lineup than yesterday. Lay it.

The pitching gap is the headline. Will Warren has quietly been one of the better arms in the league at 7-1 with a 3.41 ERA, and he's been even sharper on the road. Patrick Corbin is the opposite story — a 4.55 ERA that flatters him after he got knocked around for 5 earned in 3 innings against the Phillies last time out, with a brutal June so far. If the Yankees take the run line, the Corbin first inning is where it starts.

New York Yankees
Will Warren
(7-3)·3.75 ERA
Jun 8 @ Guardians
ND
4.1IP
3ER
5K
2BB
91P
06/14 Lineup
Toronto Blue Jays
Patrick Corbin
(2-4)·5.09 ERA
Jun 8 vs Phillies
L
3.0IP
5ER
3K
4BB
79P
06/14 Lineup
New York Yankees
New York Yankees
(9)
  • Day-To-DayPayton Henry (C)The Yankees signed Henry to a minor-league contract Monday, Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News reports.06/05
  • Day-To-DayEric Reyzelman (SP)no06/05
  • Day-To-DayTravis MacGregor (SP)MacGregor underwent Tommy John surgery last September and will miss the entire 2019 season, Jonathan Mayo of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILTrent Grisham (CF)Grisham (hamstring) participated in "light on-field agility exercises" Saturday and is expected to undergo imaging in New York on Monday, per MLB.com.06/14
  • 10-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton (DH)Stanton tweaked his injured right calf while running the bases this week, and he may need to undergo more medical imaging, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.06/13
  • 10-Day-ILAustin Wells (C)Yankees manager Aaron Boone said Friday that the team will wait until after the weekend series against the Blue Jays before deciding whether Wells (head) will be activated off the 10-day injured list or embark on a rehab assignment, Chris Kirschner of The Athletic reports.06/12
  • 10-Day-ILAaron Judge (RF)The Yankees announced Thursday that Judge has a stress fracture of his first rib on his right side and will be sidelined for 4-to-6 weeks before being re-evaluated, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.06/05
  • 15-Day-ILMax Fried (SP)Yankees manager Aaron Boone said Friday that Fried (elbow) will throw off a mound Saturday, Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News reports.06/12
  • 60-Day-ILClarke Schmidt (SP)Schmidt (elbow) has been "feeling great" during recent mound sessions and could start throwing to hitters by the end of June, per MLB.com.06/08
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays
(15)
  • Day-To-DayVladimir Guerrero Jr. (1B)Guerrero isn't in the lineup for Saturday's game against the Yankees.06/13
  • Day-To-DayGeovanny Jesus Planchart (C)no05/08
  • Day-To-DayChay Yeager (RP)Yeager will undergo season-ending UCL surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILAddison Barger (RF)The Blue Jays are hoping to send Barger (elbow) on a rehab assignment next week, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.06/12
  • 10-Day-ILDaulton Varsho (CF)The Blue Jays placed Varsho on the 10-day injured list Friday, retroactive to June 10, with left wrist inflammation.06/12
  • 10-Day-ILLenyn Sosa (2B)Sosa went 2-for-5 with a solo home run, an additional run and an additional RBI on Saturday against the Twins in an 11-4 victory.05/28
  • developmental listFernando Perez (P)
  • 60-Day-ILYimi Garcia (RP)Garcia (elbow) will continue his rehab assignment with Triple-A Buffalo on Saturday and is closing in on being reinstated from the 60-day injured list, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.06/12
  • 60-Day-ILShane Bieber (SP)Blue Jays manager John Schneider said Friday that Bieber (elbow) will likely make another rehab start with Triple-A Buffalo before rejoining Toronto, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.06/12
  • 60-Day-ILLazaro Estrada (RP)Estrada (shoulder) struck out three over three perfect innings of relief Sunday in a rehab appearance with Triple-A Buffalo.06/09
  • 60-Day-ILJoe Mantiply (RP)Mantiply will undergo arthroscopic surgery to repair some damage in his left knee, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.06/04
  • 60-Day-ILJose Berrios (SP)Blue Jays manager John Schneider said that Berrios underwent full Tommy John surgery Wednesday in addition to having a stress fracture repaired, Hazel Mae of Sportsnet reports.05/27
  • 60-Day-ILAnthony Santander (RF)Toronto transferred Santander (shoulder) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Sunday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILCody Ponce (SP)Ponce underwent surgery Friday to repair the ACL in his right knee, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILBowden Francis (SP)The Blue Jays placed Francis (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.05/08

The injury board is doing most of the work here. The Yankees are running this series without Aaron Judge (rib stress fracture, 4-6 weeks), Giancarlo Stanton, Trent Grisham, Austin Wells, and Max Fried — and they're still in first place pace and just took 2 of the first 3 vibes off this trip. Toronto, meanwhile, has Vladimir Guerrero Jr. day-to-day with lower back tightness that flared up Friday night and kept him out Saturday. If Vlad can't go, Charles McAdoo slides to first again and a thin Toronto lineup gets thinner against a guy who doesn't beat himself.

The recent-form picture is uglier for Toronto than the records suggest. The Jays just dropped 2 of 3 to the Phillies at home before this Yankees series, and now they're alternating wins and losses with a New York team that's missing its MVP. The schedule doesn't get cuter — Toronto needs this one to avoid a series loss inside the division, and they're sending a 4.55 ERA at the league's hottest road rotation.

New York Yankees
New York Yankees
(42-27)
Jun 13W@ Blue Jays3-1
Jun 12L@ Blue Jays5-8
Jun 10W@ Guardians8-4
Jun 9W@ Guardians3-2
Jun 8W@ Guardians7-5
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays
(34-37)
Jun 13Lvs Yankees1-3
Jun 12Wvs Yankees8-5
Jun 10Lvs Phillies4-7
Jun 9Wvs Phillies3-2
Jun 8Lvs Phillies2-5

The case for the Jays is the case for any home dog in a get-away matinee — Warren has yet to give them the long-look third time through, the Yankees' bullpen has been worked the last few days, and Toronto did already shellac New York for 8 in the opener. But that game was Schlittler-related variance. This one is a clean talent edge for the visitors, and an early start in front of a half-full dome is the kind of day where the Yankees just business-trip it home with the series.

MLBNew York YankeesToronto Blue JaysPolymarketKalshiWill WarrenPatrick Corbin