Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals

Sun Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
By Pablo SanchezUpdated 2h ago·2 min read
Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB
Cincinnati BengalsCIN
AT
1:00 PM ET

Two teams that faded hard down the stretch last season open 2026 in Cincinnati, and both walk in with their quarterback situations still very much a work in progress.

Bush’s PicksPicks madeJul 7, 1:15 PM CT
+163TBCIN-186
-110TB +3.5CIN -3.5-102
-118Over 51.5Under 51.5-101
Best BetBengals -186

Cincinnati's price banks almost entirely on Joe Burrow being all the way back from last year's turf toe injury, and everything out of Bengals camp says he is. Baker Mayfield's unresolved contract is the kind of distraction that can bleed into September, and Tampa's without last year's top receiver. Back the Bengals here even walking into a wide-open division.

Buccaneers
  • Finished 8-9 and won the season finale
  • Rookie LB Rueben Bain Jr. bolsters the front seven
  • New OC Zac Robinson brings fresh scheme upside
  • Lost WR Mike Evans to the 49ers in free agency
  • Mayfield extension talks 'not anywhere close'
  • Dropped 4 of last 5 to close out 2025
Bengals
  • Burrow reports full health after turf toe injury
  • Added Dexter Lawrence to fix the run defense
  • Won 2 of last 5 by 20-plus points
  • Went 6-11 and missed the playoffs last season
  • DC Al Golden on a prove-it year after a rough 2025
  • Shut out 0-24 by the Ravens in December

Sunday's opener at Paycor Stadium (1:00 PM ET) puts Joe Burrow's health front and center. Burrow missed half of 2025 with a grade-3 turf toe injury that wrecked Cincinnati's season, and he's spent the offseason telling anyone who'll listen he feels as good as he has in years. Across the field, Baker Mayfield is playing out a contract year with no extension in hand — he and the Bucs remain, in his own words, "not anywhere close" on a new deal, with training camp shaping up as an unofficial deadline. Both teams are betting their season on a quarterback situation that hasn't fully resolved itself yet.

Cincinnati's defense was the story of last year's collapse, and the front office responded by trading for Dexter Lawrence and immediately locking him up on a one-year, $28 million extension, hoping a healthier interior line changes things under DC Al Golden, back for a prove-it season. Tampa Bay lost Mike Evans to the 49ers in free agency, which leaves Chris Godwin Jr. and a retooled receiver room to pick up the slack behind Mayfield. Cincinnati opened as short home favorites, a number that leans on a healthy Burrow more than it doubts Tampa's answers at receiver.

Show fees
1:00 PM ET
Spread
ML
Total
TB Buccaneers
CIN Bengals

The more interesting question is whether either team's offseason fixes actually show up once the games count. Zac Robinson takes over as Tampa's offensive coordinator after running Atlanta's offense, and how fast Godwin and third-round rookie Ted Hurst adjust to a new scheme says a lot about how the Bucs replace Evans' production. Cincinnati added Joe Flacco as insurance behind Burrow — not a quarterback battle, just protection against exactly the kind of injury that sank last season.

Neither team finished 2025 well. The Bucs dropped 4 of their last 5 before salvaging the finale over Carolina, while the Bengals split their final 5 with a pair of blowout wins sandwiched around a 0-24 shutout loss to Baltimore. Both records tell the story of teams that talked themselves into a fast start and then couldn't hold it.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals
Recent form.

The injury boards are mostly clean for a Week 1 opener, notable given how much both rosters got remade this offseason. Tampa's headline names — Mayfield, Godwin, Vita Vea — are all full-go, with cornerback Benjamin Morrison and running back Bucky Irving the only real question marks. Cincinnati's list reads similarly, with tight end Erick All and rookie center Connor Lew carrying questionable tags into camp.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Injury report — info via ESPN.

Neither team is walking into Week 1 with a settled identity, which makes this one more about first impressions than anything decisive. If Burrow looks like his old self and Cincinnati's defense holds up its end, the Bengals have a real shot in a wide-open AFC North. If Mayfield gets paid and Tampa's rebuilt receiver room clicks early, the Bucs' path back to an NFC South title starts here.

NFLTampa Bay BuccaneersCincinnati BengalsPinnaclePolymarketKalshi