ESPN ran the tape on every position group in Green Bay this offseason and came back with a mixed verdict: receiver, tight end and offensive line all trending up, running back stuck in neutral, and quarterback actually a step backward. That's a weird profile for a team that finished 15th to 17th in most offensive categories a year ago and is supposedly gearing up to make a leap.
Start with the good news. Green Bay traded away Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks this offseason, which sounds like addition by subtraction until you remember those two were soaking up roughly 8 targets a game between them. Matt LaFleur basically admitted the old room was too crowded, saying it was hard to get everybody the touches they deserved. Now Christian Watson, Jayden Reed and second-year burner Matthew Golden split that pie instead of five guys fighting over scraps. Tucker Kraft is also back after a torn ACL wiped out his 2025, and early word is Josh Whyle has looked good enough behind him that the tight end room might actually be deep for once. Add in first-round pick Jordan Morgan sliding in at left tackle, and three separate units got real, tangible upgrades.
Then there's quarterback, which somehow got worse without Jordan Love missing a snap. Backup Malik Willis bolted for Miami, and the Packers replaced him with Tyrod Taylor, who has won just 3 of his last 9 starts whenever he's been forced into action. Love himself is healthy and reportedly grinding on footwork this offseason, so the QB1 outlook is fine. But if Love goes down for even a few weeks, this offense has a real drop-off behind him now, and that's the kind of depth issue that doesn't show up in June but absolutely shows up in a playoff push.
Running back is the group nobody wants to talk about, and for good reason. Josh Jacobs is technically atop the depth chart again, but he's dealing with lingering knee issues and declining efficiency, and MarShawn Lloyd and Pierre Strong Jr. haven't proven they can carry a real workload behind him. Layer on top of that the fact that Jacobs was arrested in May on strangulation, battery and disorderly conduct charges stemming from a domestic disturbance call in Brown County. He was released without formal charges while the DA's office asked for additional investigation, and he denies the allegations through his attorneys. The legal situation is unresolved, but it's exactly the kind of cloud that makes drafting him this summer a genuine risk-reward bet rather than a locked-in RB2.
For fantasy purposes, that uncertainty is already showing up in how people are drafting this backfield. Jacobs is going anywhere from RB8 to RB17 depending on the platform, generally landing around the end of round 3, which tells you the market hasn't fully priced in a possible suspension yet. If you're picking Jacobs, you need a real handcuff plan, and Lloyd becomes one of the more relevant late-round dart throws in fantasy simply because of proximity to a workload that could open up fast.
Golden is the more interesting buy on the ascending side. He caught just 29 passes for 361 yards and no touchdowns as a rookie while missing 3 games with shoulder and wrist injuries, so the box score doesn't scream breakout. But he added weight this offseason to hold up better physically, GM Brian Gutekunst has publicly called his ceiling very, very high, and he's now stepping into a target share that lost roughly 8 looks a game to trades. Golden is currently going around WR42, pick 94 in most drafts, which is a very fair price for a player who could realistically be Green Bay's leading receiver by midseason.
The betting market angle here is straightforward: an offense that upgraded at three positions but downgraded its QB2 and has a running back situation tangled up in a legal case is not one you should be overconfident on for Green Bay's win total or any team-passing-yardage props until camp sorts out health and legal clarity. Love's props are the safest bet in the building. Everything involving the run game should be treated with caution until there's more certainty on both the knee and the courtroom.
Bottom line for fantasy drafters: draft Golden with confidence as a rising target earner, treat Jacobs as a talented but risky pick who needs handcuff insurance, and keep an eye on Tyrod Taylor's health reports all camp, because if Love needs even a short breather, this offense's ceiling drops fast.