Consensus QB23-24 in Seattle's run-first offense with a new coordinator — a superflex QB2 whose projection (roughly 4,000 yards, minimal rushing) caps the ceiling.
Draft Market
Live ADP165.4▼ 12.3 picks vs. yesterday
Crowd ADP146.8FFC · 34 live mock drafts
Rostered12.4%of ESPN leagues
Market Odds9.0%to finish #1 QB, SEA · Kalshi
Darnold is going 165.4 overall in live ESPN drafts — pick 14.09 in a 12-team league, the QB21 off the board.
Kalshi's market ranks Darnold QB5 to finish #1 at the position — 16 spots ahead of the draft cost. The market sees something drafters haven't priced in yet.
Award Markets
MVP2.5%Kalshi · 79,971 contracts traded
Passing Yards Leader4.0%Kalshi · 459 contracts traded
Passing TDs Leader3.0%Kalshi · 78 contracts traded
