UCF to win (+113) vs Baylor

By JR·2 min read
UCF to win+113

TLDR: Baylor fired its coach on Sunday and is on its 2nd straight road trip, while UCF stays home, where it is unbeaten this season, for the Space Game.

Point

  • Coaching change

    Baylor fired Dave Aranda on Sunday, so Joe Klanderman, the defensive coordinator in his 1st Baylor season, coaches his 1st game as interim with 5 days to prepare.

  • Home and away

    UCF is 4-0 at home and 0-3 away this season, and 8-1 all-time in the Space Game, which is in its 10th year Friday.

  • Road swing

    Baylor goes on the road for the 2nd week in a row, Lawrence and then Orlando 6 days apart, while UCF stays home.

  • Baylor injuries

    Leading rusher Dawson Pendergrass and cornerback Devon Jordan, who has 3 interceptions, are both questionable, which thins Baylor's run game and its secondary.

Counterpoint

  • Pass defense

    UCF ranks 118th nationally in passing yards allowed, and DJ Lagway's Baylor offense averages 278.9 passing yards a game, 4th in the Big 12.

  • UCF secondary

    UCF has ruled out starting safety Demari Henderson and cornerback DJ Bell, so its weakest unit is missing 2 regulars against Baylor's best one.

Neutral

  • Last meeting

    Baylor won 30-3 in Waco last November, but Aranda and quarterback Sawyer Robertson, Baylor's coach and passer that day, are both gone.

  • Weather

    Friday calls for breezy northeast wind gusting 20-30 mph, about 72 at night and a 20% shower chance, which tests both passing games and both kickers.

Baylor at UCF Best Bet: UCF +113 · Barstool Bush