SEA to win-160
TLDR: Seattle stays home for a 2nd straight week, gets Zach Charbonnet back and adds Quenton Nelson's full week of practice, while Chicago asks 3 returning or brand-new defenders to come together on the road.
Point
- Home stand
Seattle plays its 2nd straight home game and is 3-1 at Lumen Field this year, while Chicago crosses 2 time zones.
- Charbonnet returns
Zach Charbonnet plays his first 2026 game less than 9 months after ACL surgery, so Seattle has a fresh lead back to build a run-first plan around.
- Nelson's debut
Quenton Nelson starts at left guard after a full week of practice, and he faced Jeffery Simmons twice a year in the AFC South.
- Seattle's front
Linebacker Drake Thomas is back after missing 2 games, and tackles Leonard Williams and Byron Murphy II are cleared, so the middle of Seattle's defense is intact.
Counterpoint
- Left tackle
Charles Cross is out with a high ankle sprain, so backup Josh Jones starts at left tackle against Montez Sweat in his first game back.
- Simmons arrives
Jeffery Simmons, traded to Chicago on Thursday, debuts with 4 sacks and the most pressures of any defensive tackle, 28, against a reshuffled Seattle interior.
Neutral
- Weather
Lumen Field is open-air, and the kickoff forecast is high 40s and cloudy with light wind and little rain, so neither game plan should have to change.
- Last meeting
Seattle won the last meeting 6-3 in the Chicago rain in December 2024, before Ben Johnson arrived, so it tells us little about Monday.
