SEA to win-142
TLDR: Kansas City arrives unbeaten but without both starting tackles, facing a rested Seattle front that has not allowed a 100-yard rusher in 35 games, and that is where we back the Seahawks.
Point
- Chiefs tackles
Josh Simmons is on IR and Jaylon Moore is out with a concussion, so Joshua Ezeudu makes his 11th career start, on the road at night.
- Run defense
Seattle has gone a franchise-record 35 games without allowing a 100-yard rusher, which is the wall the Chiefs' whole offense has to run through.
- Rest
Seattle gets 10 days since Thursday in Denver to Kansas City's 7, and its injured front needs that time more than anyone.
- Last trip
Mahomes' only regular-season game in Seattle was a 38-31 loss on Sunday night in 2018, the last time these teams met on SNF.
Counterpoint
- Linebackers
Drake Thomas and Chazz Surratt are both out again, so Tyrice Knight starts against a back averaging a league-best 6.3 yards a carry.
- Edge rushers
DeMarcus Lawrence, Uchenna Nwosu and Connor O'Toole are all questionable, so the rush that should beat backup tackles may be short-handed.
Neutral
- Weather
Lumen Field is open-air, and forecasts range from dry to a 60% shower chance near 50 degrees with almost no wind.
- Walker's return
Kenneth Walker III faces the team he won Super Bowl MVP with last season, so he knows this defense and it knows him.