DAL to win-205
TLDR: Philadelphia can't sustain drives, has nothing behind a returning Barkley and lost its home crowd early last week, and a Dallas offense that has stopped finishing drives mostly needs short fields.
Point
- Eagles offense
The Eagles lead the NFL in three-and-outs and rank 30th in yards, and Sean Mannion keeps calling the plays.
- Backfield depth
Tank Bigsby and Will Shipley are both on IR, so Barkley comes back from his hamstring with no proven back behind him.
- Special teams
Against Carolina the Eagles had a punt blocked and Britain Covey muffed kickoffs, which hands short fields to a Dallas offense that needs them.
- The Linc
Large sections of Lincoln Financial Field were empty by the middle of the 4th quarter against Carolina, so the home crowd is no sure lift.
Counterpoint
- Dallas third down
Dallas allows a 52.6% third-down conversion rate, last in the NFL, which can hand even a stalled offense extra chances.
- Dallas run game
Dallas runs for 81.6 yards a game, 30th, so it may not cash in on a run defense Chuba Hubbard just hit for 120.
Neutral
- Rest
Both teams last played October 18, so each gets 8 days, and Dallas's Sunday night game at Lambeau costs it only a few hours.
- Next week
Both teams play again Sunday, Dallas at home to Arizona and Philadelphia at Washington, so neither has an easier turnaround to look ahead to.