Falcons to win (+223) vs Packers

By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Green Bay has no Parsons, no Jacobs, no Reed and 2 linemen out, and is coming off an overtime road game, so Penix mostly needs to keep the ball safe.

Point

  • Pass rush

    Micah Parsons is on the PUP list until at least mid-October, so Penix's first start back won't face Green Bay's best pass rusher.

  • Backfield

    Josh Jacobs is on the commissioner's exempt list, which leaves Green Bay without the lead back who could take pressure off its quarterback.

  • Love's accuracy

    Jordan Love is completing 52.1% of his passes, the lowest rate among quarterbacks with 30 or more attempts, and he had Reed for those games.

  • Travel and rest

    Green Bay went to overtime against the Jets in its 2nd straight road game, then flew home to get ready for Thursday.

Counterpoint

  • Lambeau history

    Atlanta hasn't won at Lambeau since 2008, and Green Bay is going for a record 14th straight home-opener win.

  • Protection

    Rush and Strand were sacked 7 times in 2 games, and the same line now has to protect a quarterback coming back from ACL surgery.

Neutral

  • Weather

    It should be dry and calm, just under 60 degrees at kickoff and falling into the 50s by the 4th quarter, so neither game plan changes.

  • Sidelines

    Kevin Stefanski is in his 1st season with Atlanta and Matt LaFleur in his 8th in Green Bay, and they're 1-1 against each other.

Live Odds

Falcons at Packers Best Bet: Falcons +223 · Barstool Bush