Saints to win (-114) vs Falcons

By JR·2 min read
NO to win-114

TLDR: On the 20th anniversary of the Superdome's reopening, a loud building and a pass rush led by Chase Young meet a quarterback 1 game back from a torn ACL, and the Saints win.

Point

  • Domecoming

    Monday marks 20 years since the 2006 Superdome reopening against Atlanta, and it is the Saints' first home Monday night game since 2022, so expect noise.

  • Pass rush

    Chase Young has 3.5 sacks in 3 games and Michael Penix Jr. has taken 17 sacks in 15 career games, so a rush without Granderson can still get there.

  • Cameron Jordan

    Jordan is back after missing the opener and is 1 sack from passing Lawrence Taylor, so the edge is thinner without Granderson but not empty.

  • Tyler Shough

    Shough has 917 yards, 8 touchdowns and a 69% completion rate, so the offense moves whenever he keeps hold of the ball.

Counterpoint

  • Atlanta run defense

    Atlanta allows a league-low 47.7 rushing yards a game, and with Etienne on IR the Saints' ground game is Alvin Kamara.

  • Kellen Moore vs Atlanta

    Moore is 0-2 against the Falcons, and one of those was a 24-10 loss in this building last November with Atlanta's backup quarterback starting.

Neutral

  • Weather

    No weather — indoors at Caesars Superdome.

  • Series

    Atlanta leads the regular-season series 57-56 after 113 meetings, which is about as even as an NFL rivalry gets.

Falcons at Saints Best Bet: Saints -114 · Barstool Bush