FSU to win+154
TLDR: Louisville takes the field without its leading rusher and 2 offensive linemen, against a front that just made 10 sacks, while Ashton Daniels faces a defense ranked 130th against the pass.
Point
- Ashton Daniels
Daniels carried 17 times for 136 yards against Virginia, including an 81-yard score, and FSU has turned all 21 red-zone trips this season into points.
- Louisville's backfield
Leading rusher Keyjuan Brown (367 yards) is out, so a run game that has to protect Kienholz's sore leg is down to 1 proven back.
- Last 2 meetings
FSU won both, including a 35-31 fourth-quarter comeback in this stadium in 2022, so the building has no recent hold over the Seminoles.
Counterpoint
- Road record
FSU has lost 10 straight road games and has not won one since beating Florida in 2023, a streak this game has to break.
- FSU's back 7
FSU lists 4 linebackers out, Blake Nichelson among them, plus 4 defensive backs, facing an offense that has scored at least 27 in every loss.
Neutral
- Weather
The forecast is about 79 degrees around the 6 PM CT kickoff with no rain and a light wind, so neither offense gets slowed down.
- Rest
Both teams played Saturday, October 3 and both come into this Friday game on 6 days' rest, so neither side gets a short-week edge.