MISS to win+142
TLDR: The bet lost, and mostly not for the reasons we gave. Chambliss played well, but the case assumed Florida's defense and schedule were soft, and Florida held Ole Miss to 6 first-half points and ran for more than 250 yards.
Point
- Coach vs QB
Jon Sumrall faced Chambliss twice at Tulane last season and lost 45-10 and 41-10, and he still hasn't found an answer.
Hurt usChambliss had 298 passing yards and 2 rushing TD; Sumrall still won - Last meeting
Ole Miss beat Florida 34-24 last November with 538 yards on 83 plays and held the Gators to 103 second-half yards.
Didn't matterOle Miss managed only 6 first-half points this time - Florida's schedule
Florida's 2 home wins came against Florida Atlantic and FCS Campbell, and in its only real test Auburn scored 39.
Hurt usFlorida's defense held Ole Miss to 6 points in the first half - Bye week
Ole Miss is off October 3, so it has no reason to hold anything back, and its injured players get 2 weeks before Vanderbilt.
Didn't matterOle Miss looked flat after the LSU win and trailed 17-6 at halftime
Counterpoint
- Kewan Lacy
Lacy is doubtful with a shoulder injury after running for 224 yards and 3 TD against Florida last year, and his backups have 21 carries combined.
Hurt usLacy was ruled out, and Ole Miss's rushing TDs came from Chambliss - Secondary
Ole Miss has ruled out 5 defensive backs, including cornerbacks Cedrick Beavers, Dorian Barney and Victor Lincoln Jr., against a Florida offense scoring 54 a game.
Hurt usPhilo rarely needed to throw but still hit a 38-yarder and a TD
Neutral
- Weather
Kickoff is forecast sunny and in the low 80s with a 6-9 mph north wind, so the weather won't help or hurt either passing game.
Didn't matter82 degrees, clear and almost no wind - Series
The all-time series is tied 13-13-1, and the home team won each of the last 2 meetings, Florida 24-17 and Ole Miss 34-24.
Didn't matterThe home team won a 3rd straight meeting
