NO to win-163
TLDR: The bet lost on a 13-0 Raiders fourth quarter after the Saints led by 5. The case leaned on Raiders injuries, and that edge never showed up: Bowers played and went for 116 yards, and Paye was active.
Point
- The spot
After opening at Detroit and Baltimore, the Saints play their home opener, their 1st Superdome game since an Aug. 15 preseason date, with the crowd working against a road offense's snap count.
Helped usSaints scored 27 at home and led by 5 after 3 - Travel
Las Vegas makes its 2nd straight road trip and its 1st out of Pacific time, while the Saints begin a 3-game homestand with no trip to look past.
Didn't matterRaiders showed no road fatigue and closed 13-0 - Pass rush
Kwity Paye is questionable after missing Thursday with an illness, and he is half of the edge pressure the Saints' backup left tackle has to survive.
Didn't matterPaye was active and played; no pressure stats found - Raiders TE
Brock Bowers is questionable after a Sept. 8 meniscus trim and sat out Friday, so Kirk Cousins may again be without his best target.
Hurt usBowers played: 10 catches, 116 yards, 1 touchdown
Counterpoint
- Left tackle
Asim Richards starts for Kelvin Banks Jr., who is on IR after ankle surgery, and a 49.4 PFF grade over 28 snaps makes him Shough's biggest risk.
Didn't matterShough threw 4 touchdowns; Richards' snaps not reported - Coaching
Klint Kubiak was the Saints' offensive coordinator in 2024 and Joe Woods ran their defense in 2023-24, so the Raiders' staff knows much of this roster.
Didn't matterNo sign the staff's Saints history decided anything
Neutral
- Weather
No weather — indoors at Caesars Superdome.
Didn't matterIndoors, no weather factor - Last meeting
Las Vegas won 25-10 here in December 2024 with Kubiak on the losing sideline, and neither team has the same head coach now, so little of it carries over.
Didn't matter2024 result had no bearing on this game
