DEN to win+131
TLDR: Seattle flies to altitude after a Sunday shootout, kickoff turns cold and windy, and its defense is missing a linebacker, which is enough for Denver to win at home even without Surtain.
Point
- Travel and altitude
Seattle played a home shootout Sunday and now has 3 days to recover, fly to Denver and play at 5,280 feet.
- Weather
The game-day forecast calls for chilly, windy weather, with temperatures in the low-to-mid 40s by the 4th quarter. That works against the passing game that drives Seattle.
- Home field
Denver is 2-0 at Empower Field this season after tying a club record with 8 home wins in 2025.
- Seattle linebacker
Linebacker Drake Thomas is out with an ankle injury, which thins out the Seattle defenders who would cover RJ Harvey underneath.
Counterpoint
- Denver secondary
Pat Surtain II and safety Talanoa Hufanga are both out, and Riley Moss (ribs) is questionable and reportedly not himself.
- Seattle takeaways
Seattle leads the NFL with 11 forced turnovers, and that is a problem for a Denver offense that has been struggling to throw.
Neutral
- The series
Seattle hasn't won in Denver since 2006, but it won the last 2 meetings, both in Seattle, by 6 and by 1.
- Last season
Both teams went 14-3 in 2025. Seattle won Super Bowl LX and Denver lost the AFC Championship Game.