Judge's Bone Bruise Finally Explains the May Slump

By Vinnie the Gooch·2 min read
Judge's Bone Bruise Finally Explains the May Slump

Aaron Judge is dealing with a bone bruise, and Eric Hubbs is stuck somewhere between relief and frustration that the Yankees didn't catch it sooner.

For weeks, the conversation around Aaron Judge has been the same loop. Why does the swing look off? Why are the numbers ordinary? Is the best hitter in baseball actually cooked at 33? Now the Yankees have something resembling an answer, and it's the kind of answer that makes you exhale and grit your teeth at the same time. Boone confirmed it's not a double day off, which is Yankees-speak for something is actually wrong here.

Hubbs reading the tea leaves the second the lineup card dropped.

Eric Hubbs
Eric Hubbs@BarstoolHubbs·55d ago

Alright so it's not a double day off. Not great

The diagnosis floating around is a bone bruise, and the initial imaging reportedly came back optimistic, but the doctors still have more to chew on. That's the dual-edged thing about finally having a reason. On one hand, every weak grounder and late swing in May suddenly makes sense — he's been playing hurt. On the other hand, he's been playing hurt, and somebody in that building let him keep running out there while clearly compromised.

The Hubbs Yankee-fan stages-of-grief in two sentences.

Eric Hubbs
Eric Hubbs@BarstoolHubbs·55d ago

Good news is we have a reason for Judge's down month of May. Bad news is he's dealing with an injury. Hope they're able to get this out of the way soon.

This is where the frustration kicks in. If the floor is a bone bruise, fine — you live with that, you manage it, you get him right. But the Yankees have a long, well-documented history of being late to acknowledge what their stars are dealing with, and a healthy Judge ripping the ball is so far above a 75% Judge that the cost of slow-playing it is enormous. The upside of the diagnosis is that the alternative — Judge actually losing a step at 33 — would have been a much darker offseason conversation.

Hubbs splitting the difference between cautious optimism and a real grievance with the medical staff.

Eric Hubbs
Eric Hubbs@BarstoolHubbs·55d ago

They seem optimistic about the initial imaging which is good. But Boone also said the doctors have more to analyze. If it remains a "bone bruise" then you live with that. Just wish they caught this sooner rather than let him go out there while clearly impacted.

The betting markets have already pivoted. Picks Central had Chris Klemmer hammering Judge Under 1.5 total bases, the kind of prop you only float on the reigning AL MVP when something's visibly off. That's the league quietly pricing in what the Yankees are still working through behind closed doors.

Klemmer's Judge under prop, treated like a freebie on the Picks Central set.

via @PicksCentral

So the path forward is simple even if it isn't easy. Get the rest of the imaging back, hope nothing scarier shows up, and get the guy actually healthy before the Yankees punt another summer pretending he's fine. The fan base can absorb a bone bruise. What it can't absorb is finding out in August that everybody knew in May.

Aaron JudgeNew York YankeesBarstoolHubbsAaron Boone