Orioles Bet Big on a Kansas Arm With Wild Numbers

By Vinnie the Gooch·2 min read
Orioles Bet Big on a Kansas Arm With Wild Numbers

The Orioles just paid over slot for a Kansas righty who struck out 120 guys in 97 innings and still had a 5.85 ERA.

Stuff over results. That's the whole scouting report on Dominic Voegele, and the Orioles just backed it up with real money. Jim Callis confirmed Baltimore's third-rounder signed for $897,500, a shade under the $1,003,800 slot value for pick No. 82, locking up a Kansas righty who spent this spring making Big 12 hitters look silly even when the final line didn't show it.

Jim Callis broke the signing bonus and the scouting profile that made Voegele a third-round target.

Jim Callis: 3rd-rder Dominic Voegele signs w/@Orioles for $897,500 (slot 82 value = $1,003,800). @KUBaseball RHP, 93-96 mph fastball
via @jimcallisMLB

The numbers Callis flagged are the whole story here: 93-96 mph that touches 98, a power breaking ball, and a school-record 120 strikeouts across 97 innings this past season. That strikeout rate is the kind of thing player development departments dream about, because it means the swing-and-miss stuff is already there even when the results around it are ugly.

And the results were ugly. Voegele posted a 5.85 ERA and went 6-4 across 17 starts for Kansas this spring, a line that would scare off a lot of teams. But he still walked away an All-Big 12 second-teamer, made the conference's all-tournament team and the Lawrence Regional all-tournament team, and finished his career with 289 strikeouts, second-most in program history. He's also the highest-drafted right-hander to ever come out of Kansas, going 82nd overall, the third-highest pick in program history behind only a couple of names in the record books.

This is a classic Orioles pick under the current front office: bet on the arm strength and the swing-and-miss profile, and trust the pitching lab to iron out the command and the ERA later. Baltimore has built a reputation for squeezing outlier stuff guys into legitimate big-league arms, and a 93-98 mph fastball with a school-record strikeout total is exactly the kind of raw material that fits the plan.

Getting Voegele signed for under slot with more than a week to go before the July 27 deadline also gives the Orioles extra bonus pool flexibility to spend elsewhere in this draft class. For a system that's been churning out pitching depth for years, adding a power arm with a school-record strikeout total for under $900,000 is about as low-risk, high-upside as it gets.

Dominic VoegeleBaltimore OriolesMLB Draft