Red Sox Buy Their Way Out of a Ninth-Round Steal

By Bush Staff·2 min read
Red Sox Buy Their Way Out of a Ninth-Round Steal
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Boston bet $1.5 million that a Georgia high schooler with 19 home runs would rather cash a check than go play in Starkville.

Ninth-round picks are supposed to be organizational filler, the guys who sign for scholarship money and hope to sneak into an affiliate's opening day roster. The Red Sox just blew that idea up. Boston signed prep outfielder Martin Shelar to a $1.5 million bonus, a figure that doesn't just clear slot value, it obliterates it and sets a new all-time record for the round.

Jim Callis
Jim Callis
@jimcallisMLB

Martin Shelar signs w/@RedSox for $1.5 million, new @MLBDraft bonus record for 9th rd (slot 274 value = $250,400). Georgia prep OF, led national HS players w/19 HR in 33 games, hit longest blast (470 ft) at Draft Combine. Solid speed too. @HailStateBB recruit.

Jim Callis: Martin Shelar signs w/@RedSox for $1.5 million, new @MLBDraft bonus record for 9th rd (slot 274 value = $250,400). Georg

Slot value for pick 274 was $250,400. Boston paid roughly 6 times that. Per multiple reports, the previous ninth-round high-water mark belonged to Clay Holmes, who got $1.2 million from the Pirates back in 2011 before turning into a big-league closer. Shelar's deal doesn't just beat that number, it resets what a team will pay to buy out a kid's college commitment when the tools are loud enough.

And the tools were loud. Shelar led every high schooler in the country with 19 home runs in 33 games this spring at Marist School in Atlanta, a program with a track record of sending guys to the big leagues. He hit .506 on the year, and at the Draft Combine he uncorked a 470-foot blast that was the longest in the event, to go with a 115.5 mph exit velocity, one of the best marks in his class. Scouts weren't just buying raw power, either — the report notes solid speed on top of everything else, the kind of profile teams don't usually find still sitting in the ninth round.

The reason he was still available that late has nothing to do with talent and everything to do with leverage. Shelar was committed to Mississippi State, and signability questions pushed him down draft boards that otherwise would have had him going much earlier — some outlets had him ranked as high as 65th overall nationally. Teams pass on players like that in the mid-rounds all the time because they assume college is the more attractive path. Boston didn't blink, and reportedly greased the deal by going under slot with first-rounder Jake Schaffner, freeing up bonus pool money specifically to make the Shelar number work.

This is the new-school way to build a draft class: save early, spend late. Instead of maxing out slot on a first-rounder, you take a discount there and funnel the savings into a player who'd otherwise walk onto a college campus instead of into your farm system. It's a strategy other clubs have used, but rarely this aggressively on a ninth-rounder, and it only works if your evaluators are convinced the player is worth blowing past the assigned slot value for the whole draft class.

For the Red Sox, this is about the long game. A power-speed outfielder who was seen as a first-round talent by some evaluators, now signed for less than a third-round bonus in total dollars, is the kind of value swing that can make or break a farm system 5 years down the line. Mississippi State loses a committed recruit, but college programs lose these battles to record bonuses every summer. Boston just made sure this one didn't get away.

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