Trust the Data cashes Blazers vs. Lakers over 231.5

By JR·2 min read
Trust the Data cashes Blazers vs. Lakers over 231.5

TLDR: TrustTheData's over 231.5 on Blazers-Lakers looked dead after a 15-point Portland 3rd quarter, then an 80-point 4th pushed the 124-118 final over and his record to 10-9.

The night started with a sweat-free win. Earlier Friday, his Harden-Maxey 3-point prop cashed before 76ers-Cavaliers even reached the 4th quarter.

🧠Trust The Data🧠
🧠Trust The Data🧠
@TrustTheData

3RD QUARTER ✅CASH💰 Trust the Data 🧠 We move to 9-9 (+1.46u) on the season 🏀

🧠Trust The Data🧠
🧠Trust The Data🧠
@TrustTheData

My favorite NBA prop 🏀 tonight is both James Harden and Tyrese Maxey to make 2+ 3-pointers each (-107 on @DKSports) Risk: 1.07u To Win: 1u Trust the Data 🧠 #DKPartner t.co/svhTuuEcTH

🧠Trust The Data🧠: My favorite NBA prop 🏀 tonight is both James Harden and Tyrese Maxey to make 2+ 3-pointers each (-107 on @DKSports) 

R

That got him back to 9-9 at +1.46 units. Then came the late window: Blazers at Lakers in an NBA Cup group game at Crypto.com Arena, over 231.5 at -112. It started about as badly as an over can. The 2 teams put up 49 in the 1st quarter, and the Lakers scored 20 of them.

🧠Trust The Data🧠
🧠Trust The Data🧠
@TrustTheData

49 points total in the 1st Quarter isn’t what you want. Lakers shooting 31% and 0/12 on 3s. Austin Reaves also 0/6 (0/4 from 3). Let’s score the ball fellas!

The 2nd quarter fixed a lot of it. Portland went into the half up 60-53, so the teams scored 64 in the quarter and got to 113 at the break. That's well behind the pace a 231.5 total needs, but still alive. Then Portland put up 15 points in the whole 3rd quarter, and his live update made it sound like he'd already given up on the ticket.

Do the math and it looked over. The Lakers won the 3rd 34-15, so it was 87-75 going into the 4th, 162 total. Hitting the number meant 70 points in the last 12 minutes. By his count he still needed 19 with 1:59 to go, and he was openly hoping for overtime. Then Luka Doncic happened. Doncic finished with 53 points and hit the go-ahead jumper in the lane with 28 seconds left, while Portland scored 43 in the 4th trying to steal it. The quarter ended 43-37 Portland, 80 points total, and the final was 124-118 Lakers. That's 242, almost 11 points over the number.

🧠Trust The Data🧠
🧠Trust The Data🧠
@TrustTheData

WHAT A WIN!!!! ✅ This OVER survived a 20 point Lakers 1st Quarter AND a 15 point Blazers 3rd Quarter. But an 80 (!!!) point 4th saves us and this sails over the total! Trust the Data 🧠 We move to 10-9 (+2.46u) on the season 🏀

🧠Trust The Data🧠
🧠Trust The Data🧠
@TrustTheData

Second NBA play 🏀 for tonight: Blazers at Lakers OVER 231.5 points (-112 on @DKSports) They squared off on October 27th and combined for 165 points. These are the two highest scoring teams in the league (both avg. 121+ pts) Risk: 1.12u To Win: 1u Trust the Data 🧠 #DKPartner t.co/y1rFel4yjy

🧠Trust The Data🧠: Second NBA play 🏀 for tonight: Blazers at Lakers OVER 231.5 points (-112 on @DKSports)

They squared off on October 27t

That's 2 cashes in one night, and he goes from 9-9 to 10-9 at +2.46 units, his first winning record of the season. It's a modest bankroll line, but anyone who bets overs knows how this one felt: dead after 3 quarters and won anyway. The Lakers moved to 8-2 and Portland fell to 6-2, so both teams will be back on the board soon. The bigger question is whether the record keeps climbing or this was a 1-night bailout from Luka.

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