Oddsmakers have Ole Miss as a double-digit favorite at home, and that matches how the season has gone. The Rebels are 5-2 and have scored 52 and 31 in their last 2 home-or-road wins. Auburn is 4-3 and has topped 27 points just once in its last 4 games. The Rebels also have the better common-opponent results this year, and that's where this matchup gets interesting.
Ole Miss beat LSU 32-24 in Oxford, and that same LSU team just beat Auburn by 21. Ole Miss beat Vanderbilt 52-17 on the road, while Auburn needed everything it had to beat the Commodores 21-15 at home. But Florida beat both of them: it hung 52 on Ole Miss in Gainesville and needed 44 to get past Auburn at Jordan-Hare. Auburn has looked more stable than Ole Miss against at least 1 good offense this year. And the 27-24 win at Georgia proves Auburn can win on the road against a good SEC team.
For Ole Miss, it comes down to the quarterback. Chambliss is the reason the Rebels can score with anybody, and he's also the reason they lost in Austin. Texas forced 3 turnovers from him, and Raleek Brown ran for 157 yards against the Ole Miss defense. If the Rebels give Auburn short fields, Auburn doesn't need to move the ball 70 yards at a time. That matters, because LSU showed Auburn can't really do that right now.
Saturday, October 31 looks like a quiet weather day in Oxford: 75 degrees, cloudy, 4 mph of wind and a 12% chance of rain. Neither offense will have the weather as an excuse. Auburn has to keep doing what it did against LSU, protect the ball, and somehow get stops. Ole Miss has to avoid giving away a game it should control. Both teams are 2 losses into conference play or worse, so the loser's SEC hopes get a lot thinner.