Who is favored in Boise State Broncos at Western Michigan Broncos?

Boise State Broncos are favored on the moneyline.

Who is predicted to win Boise State Broncos at Western Michigan Broncos?

Our pick is Boise State Broncos. Boise State's price hasn't fully caught up to the national attention building around a Group of Six team that just ran for nearly 200 yards from one back and pushed a top-5 opponent to the wire. This betting room is essentially untouched right now, so expect that gap to close as more eyes land on Boise before kickoff.

Boise State Broncos at Western Michigan Broncos

Sep 26, 2026·2:30 PM CT·Kalamazoo, MI

By JR·1 min read

BOIS(2-1)

WMU(2-1)

AT

2:30 PM CT

TLDR: Boise State comes into Kalamazoo carrying real Group of Six playoff buzz, but Western Michigan just spent three weeks proving it won't be an easy stop for anybody.

SAT SEP 26, 2:30 PM CT

Spread

WIN

Total

Boise State

(2-1)

WWLLW

Western Michigan

(2-1)

WWLWW

Kickoff73°

Boise State arrives at Western Michigan as a heavy favorite riding a wave of national attention after a near-upset of Oregon and a dominant ground game, but both Broncos teams actually sit at the same 2-1 record through three weeks. The line leans hard on Boise's profile; the box scores suggest a tighter gap than the number implies.

Boise State

Nearly upset No. 2 Oregon in the opener
Dylan Riley ran for 198 yards and 2 TDs vs South Dakota
Building real national playoff buzz
Needed a rally to escape an FCS opponent
Defense gave up 27 points to Oregon
First true road test since joining the Pac-12

Western Michigan

Led Michigan late before a Hail Mary loss
Broc Lowry back at QB with 2 wins already
Picked by 9 of 10 MAC coaches to win the league
Offense hasn't topped 20 points all season
Facing a clear talent gap against Boise's roster
Needs a statement win to justify preseason hype

Broc Lowry is back under center for Western Michigan after a season-opening night where the Broncos led Michigan into the fourth quarter before a 47-yard Hail Mary flipped the whole result. Boise State's own quarterback situation has been almost secondary to its ground game, which has carried the offense through a near-miss at Oregon and wins over Memphis and South Dakota.

Both of these Broncos teams sit at 2-1, which is a closer season-long picture than the price on this game suggests. Western Michigan was picked by nine of the ten MAC coaches to win the conference this preseason, while Boise State's ground game — Dylan Riley ran for 198 yards and 2 touchdowns against South Dakota — has turned a competitive loss at Oregon into a legitimate national storyline.

The number reflects that gap in profile more than in record right now, with Boise sent out as a heavy road favorite and the total sitting in the high-40s. Waldo Stadium is forecasting calm and dry for kickoff, so nothing about the weather figures to slow either offense down.

Western Michigan's issue through three weeks hasn't been effort — it's finishing. The Broncos led Michigan late and needed a miracle to lose it, but their offense has yet to hang points on anyone with a real defense behind it. Boise's task now is showing that the Oregon shootout and the sluggish South Dakota win weren't the product of facing lesser competition, because Kalamazoo is set up to be the toughest road environment on this stretch of the schedule.

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