California Golden Bears at Virginia Cavaliers

Nov 14, 20262:30 PM CTACC NetworkCharlottesville, VA
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Two ACC teams with 3-game losing streaks meet at Scott Stadium on Saturday, November 14, with bowl hopes running out for both. One of them gets to stop the bleeding and the other one is done.

SAT 11/14, 2:30 PM CT · Week 11ACC Network
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California (3-6) and Virginia (4-5) have both lost 3 straight and both got blown out by Wake Forest and beaten at SMU. Cal needs to win out to reach a bowl and is finishing a 3-game road trip east. Virginia is home but missing 3 receivers and its kicker. The likely deciding question is whether Cal's defense, which has given up 131 points in 3 games, can hold down a Virginia offense that keeps stalling.

California Golden Bears
  • Beat Virginia Tech 25-20 in its last win
  • Faces an offense held to 16 or fewer in 4 of 5
  • Allowed 131 points across the 3-game losing streak
  • Third straight road game, all in the East
  • RB Vargas, TE Walker, WR Boscia all out
Virginia Cavaliers
  • Home at Scott Stadium, where it beat Syracuse
  • Held SMU to 23 while Cal allowed 59
  • 7 points at both Florida State and Wake Forest
  • Receivers Flores, Newton-Short and Ward all out
  • Kicker Hamann out, which matters in a close game

The setup is simple. California is 3-6 and Virginia is 4-5, both 2-4 in the ACC, and both have gone 1-4 over their last 5. Cal had to win 3 of its last 4 to reach a bowl for the 4th straight year, and then lost 31-10 at NC State. That leaves the Golden Bears needing to win out, and this game is first. Virginia has a little more room, but not much. The Cavaliers need 2 more wins to get to 6, and losing at home to a team that has lost 3 straight would just about end it.

For Cal this is the end of a long road swing. The Bears went to SMU, then Raleigh, and now Charlottesville, so it's 3 straight trips east. The NC State game kicked off at 9 a.m. Pacific and Cal managed 10 points. They'll face another early-afternoon Eastern kickoff here. They're also short on offense. RB C. Vargas is out with a leg injury, TE R. Walker is out with an undisclosed injury, and WR C. Boscia is out with no timetable.

Virginia's injury list is longer, and the receivers are the worst of it. R. Flores Jr. (knee), D. Newton-Short (hamstring) and T. Ward are all listed out. RB J. Stevens, S E. Minter, DL J. Hammond and K T. Hamann are on the list too. That's a lot of missing pieces for an offense that has scored 7 points twice in its last 5 games.

10/31L@NC State10-31
10/24L@25SMU20-59
10/18Lvs11Wake Forest7-41
10/10WvsVirginia Tech25-20
10/03L@UNLV31-39
10/31L@11Wake Forest7-51
10/23LvsDuke16-19
10/17L@25SMU13-23
10/10WvsSyracuse28-25
10/03L@Florida State7-38

The best measuring stick is the 2 opponents these teams share. Both played Wake Forest and got run over: Cal lost 41-7 at home and Virginia lost 51-7 in Winston-Salem. Both lost at SMU too. Cal gave up 59 there, while Virginia held the Mustangs to 23 but scored only 13. That's the matchup in short. Cal's defense has given up 131 points over its 3-game skid, and Virginia's offense hasn't scored more than 16 since its 28-25 win over Syracuse.

Both teams have exactly 1 recent win. Cal beat Virginia Tech 25-20 at home and Virginia beat Syracuse 28-25 at home. Neither has looked good on the road. Virginia opened October with a 38-7 loss at Florida State and lost at SMU after that. This time the Cavaliers are home and Cal is the team making the trip. Neither team has played its way to a big edge, and Virginia's main advantage might simply be staying home while Cal flies across the country again.

There's no board yet, so nothing here is a pick. It's a mid-November game between 2 teams in 3-game slides, and the winner keeps a bowl shot alive. Expect a sloppy game that matters a lot to both sides.

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