Cincinnati Bearcats at West Virginia Mountaineers

Oct 17, 202611:00 AM CTTNTMorgantown, WV
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Arizona put 34 on Cincinnati and 52 on West Virginia a week apart, and now the two teams it ran over meet in Morgantown. One of them gets a Big 12 season back on track. The other is in real trouble by mid-October.

SAT 10/17, 11:00 AM CT · Week 7TNT
Kickoff 51°11 mph

Cincinnati (4-1, 1-1 Big 12) visits West Virginia (3-3, 0-3) with both teams coming off blowout losses to Arizona. The Bearcats get an extra week to prepare and are trying to show the 34-7 loss in Tucson was a one-off. The Mountaineers have the dual-threat Hawkins but a defense that has given up 41 or more in 3 straight conference games. No line has been posted yet.

Cincinnati Bearcats
  • Extra week to prepare after Arizona loss
  • Already 2-0 in one-score games this year
  • Should get stops against WVU's leaky offense
  • Arizona outgained them 522-227
  • Only 1 road game so far, lost by 27
  • Big 12 wins came by 4 and 5 points
West Virginia Mountaineers
  • Hawkins went for 219 passing, 98 rushing vs Arizona
  • Scored 31+ in each of 3 straight losses
  • Home field after a road trip to Iowa State

This one is about two quarterbacks and one bad memory. West Virginia's Michael Hawkins Jr. did most of the work against Arizona, with 219 yards passing and 98 more on the ground, and the Mountaineers still lost 52-31 at home. Cincinnati's offense never got going in Tucson at all. Arizona outgained the Bearcats 522-227, and their only touchdown came with less than 2 minutes left. Whoever's offense shows up Saturday, October 17 at Milan Puskar Stadium has the edge.

The schedule helps Cincinnati. The Bearcats haven't played since the Arizona loss on Oct. 3, so they get an extra week to fix what broke out west. West Virginia played Arizona on Oct. 10 and turns around a week later with a defense that keeps getting carved up. The Mountaineers also have injuries at the skill spots: WR J. Neider has been listed out and RB C. Talley questionable with a hamstring, and both reports were written before the Arizona game. There's no line posted yet, so this one hasn't been priced.

The Arizona loss stung Cincinnati because the Bearcats had chances. An 86-yard drive died on 4th-and-2 at the Arizona 2. A 4th-down conversion was overturned on review. They forced a fumble into the end zone and lost it to a rare batting penalty. That doesn't make up for being outgained by almost 300 yards, but it does explain why the score looked worse than Cincinnati felt about it.

10/04L@Arizona7-34
09/26WvsKansas State31-26
09/19WvsMiami (OH)35-31
09/12WvsWestern Carolina62-10
09/05WvsBoston College34-15
10/10LvsArizona31-52
10/03L@Iowa State42-45
09/26Lvs18Oklahoma State24-41
09/19W@Virginia38-27
09/12WvsUT Martin52-7

The two records look different once you check the schedule. Cincinnati is 4-1, but the Bearcats played their first 4 games at home, and the 2 Big 12 wins over Miami (OH) and Kansas State came by 4 and 5 points. This is their second true road game, and the first one went badly. West Virginia is 3-3 and 0-3 in conference play, giving up 41 to Oklahoma State, 45 to Iowa State and 52 to Arizona in back-to-back-to-back weeks. That's the second straight season the Mountaineers have lost their first 3 Big 12 games.

Rich Rodriguez spent the week before the Arizona game hearing about facing his old school, and his old school won the first RichRod Bowl easily. It doesn't get easier with Cincinnati coming to town rested. The Mountaineers can still score: they put up 42 at Iowa State and 31 against Arizona, and Hawkins running the ball is the best thing they have. The question is whether the defense can hold an offense that only managed 7 points its last time out. The forecast says 51 degrees, cloudy and an 11 mph wind, so it won't play much of a part.

The stakes are simple. A Cincinnati win puts the Bearcats at 2-1 in the Big 12 and makes the Arizona game look like one bad trip. A West Virginia loss makes it 0-4 in conference with half the league schedule still left, and people will start asking how long this rebuild takes. Both teams spent the last two weeks watching Arizona score on them at will. One of them leaves Morgantown with a fix.

Cincinnati Bearcats at West Virginia Mountaineers — Cincinnati Visits Reeling West Virginia After Both Got Run Over By Arizona | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush