Fresno State Bulldogs at Utah State Aggies

Nov 7, 20268:30 PM CTUSA NetLogan, UT
By JR·3 min read

TLDR: Fresno State and Utah State both scored a needed win on Halloween weekend, and now they meet in Logan with both at 2-2 in the Pac-12 and nothing settled. The Bulldogs have the better record. The Aggies have their old starting quarterback back.

FINAL · SUN NOV 8, 2:30 AMUSA Net
10
17
Final1Q2Q3Q4QT
FRES
003710
USU
0140317
Buzz #28Kickoff 45°

Fresno State (5-3) visits Utah State (3-5) with both teams at 2-2 in the Pac-12 and coming off convincing wins. The Bulldogs have a pressure defense, an efficient Jayden Mandal and better results against shared opponents Boise State and Washington State. Utah State's case rests on McCae Hillstead, whose running fits what Fresno has struggled to defend, though his comeback game came against the nation's statistically worst defense and with thin quarterback depth behind him.

Fresno State Bulldogs
  • Mandal accounted for 4 TDs against Oregon State
  • Pass rush shut down Oregon State's league-leading offense
  • Beat Washington State by 20 on the road
  • Lost both October games to Boise State and San Diego State
  • Backfield thin: Ramirez out, Luke dealing with a concussion
  • Defense has been vulnerable to quarterback runs
Utah State Aggies
  • Hillstead back: 173 passing, 79 rushing in his return
  • Defense forced 2 fumbles, 8 tackles for loss last week
  • Garcia had 11 catches with Wood out
  • Big win came against the nation's worst defense
  • Backup QB Brosterhous hurt, top WR Wood unavailable
  • Boncore, Nelson and LB Taggart out for the season

Start at quarterback. Jayden Mandal had his best night in a while in the 38-22 win over Oregon State: 2 touchdown passes to Josiah Freeman and 2 more on the ground. On the season he's at 1,595 passing yards, 10 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions, and Fresno State scored on each of its first 3 drives of the second half to pull away from the Beavers. On the other side, McCae Hillstead made his first start since the season opener after losing the job to Grady Brosterhous. He threw for 173 yards, ran for 79 and caught a 44-yard reverse pass in the 31-14 win over Colorado State, and Bronco Mendenhall called it the closest his team has come all year to working as one unit.

Hillstead's return comes with a catch. Brosterhous sat out the Colorado State game hurt, so Utah State's depth behind its starter is thin, and top receiver Eli Wood didn't play either. Anthony Garcia picked up the slack with 11 catches for 121 yards, tying his career high. Fresno State's backfield has its own problems. B. Ramirez is out for the season and R. Luke has been dealing with a concussion. Bryson Donelson ran for 108 yards and a score against Oregon State, so the run game hasn't stalled. The Bulldogs travel as a short favorite, which is roughly what the records say.

These 2 have played 2 of the same opponents, and the comparison is useful. Against Boise State, Fresno State lost 38-31 at home in a shootout, while Utah State got handled 37-18 on the road. Against Washington State, the Bulldogs went to Pullman and won 26-6, while the Aggies needed every point to get by 17-16 at home. On those 2 results, Fresno State has the more complete team. The catch is that Utah State played both of those games with a different quarterback.

11/01WvsOregon State38-22
10/18L@San Diego State23-26
10/11Lvs17Boise State31-38
10/04W@Washington State26-6
09/27WvsRice38-24
10/31WvsColorado State31-14
10/24L@Texas State17-20
10/10WvsWashington State17-16
10/03L@17Boise State18-37
09/26WvsTroy21-10

Fresno State's defense might be the best thing on the field. The Bulldogs kept constant pressure on Oregon State quarterback Braden Atkinson and laid big hits on receiver Jesse Legree, holding an offense that was 3-0 in league play to 22. The one soft spot game-day previews keep pointing at is the quarterback run, which is exactly what Hillstead's legs bring that Brosterhous's didn't. Utah State's defense also showed up last week, with 2 fumble recoveries, 2 sacks, 8 tackles for loss and only 77 rushing yards allowed. Carson Tujague had a sack and 2 tackles for loss. The asterisk is that Colorado State statistically has the worst defense in the country, so the Aggies' offensive explosion came against the softest opponent available.

Both teams have lost good players for the year. Utah State is without WR N. Boncore and TE J. Nelson for the rest of the season, which helps explain why the offense runs through Garcia so heavily, and leading linebacker Harrison Taggart went down for the year earlier in the season. Game-day weather in Logan is 44 degrees and clear with 3 mph of wind, so the conditions shouldn't decide anything. That leaves 2 questions. Can Hillstead do this again against a defense that can actually pressure him? And can Fresno State win in Logan after splitting its 2 road games in this 5-game stretch?

There's a lot on the line for both. Utah State is 3-5 and needs to keep winning to have any hope of a bowl. Fresno State is 5-3 and a win in Logan would put the Bulldogs back in the top half of the league race after back-to-back losses in October. The difference between the 2 records is real, but Utah State might be a better team with Hillstead starting than its first 7 games suggest.

Free Picks
Fresno State 10, Utah State 17: Final Score & Odds Recap — Fresno State Heads To Logan With Hillstead Back Under Center