Georgia State Panthers at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Red Wolves' Trench Depth Meets Panthers' Rebuild in Jonesboro

By Pablo SanchezUpdated 5d ago·2 min read
Georgia State PanthersGAST
Arkansas State Red WolvesARST
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6:00 PM CT
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Best BetArkansas State

Arkansas State is the team trending up, with a bowl trophy and five wins in its last seven Sun Belt games to show for it, while Georgia State is coming off a winless conference season. Backing the Red Wolves outright at home is the straightforward read here given the gap in program direction, even with a new starting quarterback under center.

Georgia State
  • Overhauled defensive staff with two new co-coordinators
  • Fresh depth added at cornerback and defensive line
  • Nothing to lose, full buy-in on the rebuild
  • Finished 1-11, 0-8 in Sun Belt play in 2025
  • McGee is 4-20 through two seasons in Atlanta
  • Defense ranked among the bottom five in the FBS in 2025
Arkansas State
  • Won inaugural Xbox Bowl, capped a 7-6 turnaround season
  • Returns 10 starters, including four on the O-line
  • Won 5 of final 7 Sun Belt games to close 2025
  • Must replace 3-year starting QB Jaylen Raynor
  • Lost Sun Belt's all-time leading receiver, Corey Rucker
  • First-year OC installing a new offense

Arkansas State enters Year 6 under Butch Jones with real continuity — 10 returning starters, four of them up front on the offensive line — while Georgia State is trying to answer real questions under center and everywhere else after a 1-11 collapse. The Red Wolves still have to settle their quarterback race after losing three-year starter Jaylen Raynor, but they're doing it with a proven staff and a program that just won its first bowl game in program history. Georgia State, by contrast, heads into Jonesboro searching for signs that Dell McGee's defensive overhaul is actually fixing what was one of the worst units in the country a year ago.

The offensive-line continuity is the real story for Arkansas State. Garrett Altman takes over as offensive coordinator for the first time, but he's not walking into a bare cupboard — the trenches are set, and Hunter Summers returns as a proven target even with Sun Belt career-receiving king Corey Rucker gone. Georgia State's roster turnover cuts the other way: McGee brought in two new co-defensive coordinators and fresh faces at cornerback and defensive line specifically because last year's group allowed over 200 rushing yards a game and ranked among the bottom five defenses in the FBS.

None of that is a guarantee Arkansas State walks away comfortably. New coordinator installs and an open quarterback competition can produce rocky stretches, and Georgia State's staff clearly knows exactly where the bodies are buried on defense after last season. Still, the gap between a team that won five of its last seven games and a team that finished 0-8 in conference play is the kind of thing that shows up on the scoreboard more often than not.

Georgia State's 4-20 record under McGee through two seasons is the backdrop for everything happening in Atlanta this offseason. The coaching staff turnover on defense wasn't cosmetic — bringing in two co-coordinators simultaneously is a full teardown, a sign the program knows patchwork fixes weren't going to cut it after getting gashed on the ground all year. Whether that overhaul is far enough along by late October remains the open question hanging over this trip to Centennial Bank Stadium.

Georgia State Panthers
Georgia State Panthers
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State Red Wolves
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Injury report — info via ESPN.

Arkansas State's turnaround story is legitimate — a 1-4 start last season that flipped into a Sun Belt bowl bid and a 34-28 win over Missouri State in the inaugural Xbox Bowl doesn't happen by accident. Corey Rucker's departure leaves a void at receiver that can't be replaced with a shrug, but an offensive line this experienced, paired with defensive continuity under coordinator Griff McCarley in his second year, gives Jones a foundation most Group of Five programs would kill for heading into a home date with a team still hunting for a fix.

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