Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Pittsburgh Panthers

Oct 31, 20266:30 PM CTESPN2Pittsburgh, PA
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Pitt was 5-0 at the start of October and Georgia Tech has spent the month giving up points. One of these two ACC teams heads into November with something to build on, and the other is just counting the games left.

SAT 10/31, 6:30 PM CT · Week 9ESPN2
Kickoff 55°

Pitt (5-3, 3 straight losses) hosts Georgia Tech (2-5, 2 straight losses) at Acrisure Stadium in a game between ACC teams that have both struggled in October. The two biggest factors are Mason Heintschel's leg injury, which leaves Pitt's quarterback situation open, and a Georgia Tech run defense that Boston College ran on for around 400 yards. Pitt has the better results against the 2 opponents both teams played, beating Virginia Tech on the road where Georgia Tech lost, and the board has no prices posted yet.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
  • Has scored 24+ in every game of its last 5
  • Beat Duke 28-25, has won a close ACC game
  • Faces a Pitt team that has lost 3 straight
  • BC ran for around 400 yards against it
  • Allowed 34, 34 and 49 in 3 of last 4
  • Lost at Virginia Tech, a team Pitt beat on the road
Pittsburgh Panthers
  • Won 35-33 at Virginia Tech, where Tech lost
  • Home game at Acrisure after 2 straight road trips
  • Faces a defense that just gave up 49 at home
  • QB Heintschel questionable with a leg injury
  • Scored 23 or fewer in each of 3 straight losses
  • Lost one-score games to UNC and BC

The quarterback question belongs to Pitt. Mason Heintschel is on the Panthers' injury report as questionable with a leg injury, and the note on it, written before the Miami trip, said it was unclear whether he would be available. Pitt hasn't settled it publicly yet, and with a week until kickoff nobody should treat it as settled. Who takes the snaps for Pitt is the biggest unknown on the board for Saturday, October 31.

Here's where both teams stand. Pitt is 5-3 and has lost 3 straight. It dropped a 17-21 game at home to North Carolina, lost 21-27 at Boston College, and then No. 1 Miami beat it 52-23 at Hard Rock Stadium, in the Hurricanes' first game atop the AP poll since the 2002 season. Georgia Tech is 2-5 and has lost 2 straight, most recently a 27-49 home loss to Boston College. Neither team is ranked, and no line has been posted yet.

The schedules overlap in useful ways. Both teams played Virginia Tech and Boston College this month. Pitt went to Blacksburg and won 35-33, while Georgia Tech lost there 24-34. Both lost to BC, but Pitt kept it to one score on the road and Georgia Tech gave up 49 at home. That isn't the whole story, but it's the cleanest comparison these two have.

10/24LvsBoston College27-49
10/17L@Virginia Tech24-34
10/10WvsDuke28-25
09/27L@Stanford27-34
09/19WvsMercer44-11
10/24L@1Miami23-52
10/17L@Boston College21-27
10/10LvsNorth Carolina17-21
10/02W@Virginia Tech35-33
09/26WvsBucknell59-0

For Georgia Tech, the problem is stopping the run. Boston College's Mason McKenzie and Bo MacCormack ran for around 400 yards against the Yellow Jackets, and the 49 points were the most Bill O'Brien's Eagles have scored against a Power 4 opponent. Tech has allowed 34, 34 and 49 in 3 of its last 4 games. The offense has been fine: it has scored 24 or more in every game of its last-5 window. The defense hasn't been able to keep it in games.

For Pitt, the issue is everything since October started. A team that beat Bucknell 59-0 and won the shootout in Blacksburg has scored 17, 21 and 23 in 3 straight losses. The Miami loss is the easiest of those to explain, since that is the best team in the country. The UNC and BC losses were both one-score games the Panthers could have won. At 5-3, Pitt is 1 win from bowl eligibility, and it gets a home game against a Georgia Tech team that just gave up 400 yards on the ground.

The weather shouldn't be a factor. The forecast for Pittsburgh is 55 degrees and cloudy, with 8 mph wind and almost no chance of rain. Two things to watch: whether Heintschel is cleared, and whether Georgia Tech's defense can stop the run at all after BC's 400 yards.

Georgia Tech vs. Pittsburgh: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Oct. 31) — Pitt And Georgia Tech Meet At Acrisure Needing A Stop Badly