Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Northern Illinois Huskies

Oct 24, 20262:30 PM CTMW+Dekalb, IL
By JR·3 min read

TLDR: Northern Illinois has yet to win a game this season, and Hawai'i has yet to win a Mountain West game. One of those streaks has to end in DeKalb on Saturday, October 24.

SAT 10/24, 2:30 PM CT · Week 8MW+
Kickoff 70°14 mph

Winless Northern Illinois (0-6) hosts 1-5 Hawai'i in a Mountain West game neither team has won a league game going into. NIU's defense has allowed 28 or more in each of its last 5 and just gave up 183 rushing yards to Wyoming's quarterback, while Hawai'i's offense has scored 16 or fewer in 4 of its last 5 and is down 2 receivers with a third questionable. The long trip from Honolulu, and how Hawai'i's Homecoming game against New Mexico went, shape the rest.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
  • NIU defense allowed 28+ in each of last 5
  • Held San José State to 20 in a 4-point loss
  • Scored 16 or fewer in 4 of last 5
  • WRs Haynes IV, Ashlock out; Brown questionable
  • Lost at Wyoming, Arizona State by 17 and 18
Northern Illinois Huskies
  • Dickens threw for 216 at Wyoming
  • Clean injury report entering game week
  • Hawai'i has trouble scoring, especially on the road

Start with the Huskies, because their week is already on the books. Wyoming beat them 41-23 in Laramie on October 17, NIU's first Mountain West road game, and that dropped them to 0-6. Taron Dickens threw for 216 yards and hit La'Don Bryant for a 34-yard touchdown. Telly Johnson Jr. put up 139 yards and a 13-yard score. So the offense found some life. The defense didn't. Wyoming quarterback Tyler Hughes ran for a career-high 183 yards on 12 carries, scored 4 rushing touchdowns and went 16-of-19 through the air. When one guy puts up 379 yards of total offense on you, the problem isn't a busted coverage or two.

Hawai'i's story through its first 6 games is the opposite: the defense mostly hangs around and the offense can't finish anything. As of this week the Rainbow Warriors are 1-5 and have lost 3 straight. Their scores over the last 5 read 6, 29, 10, 16 and 12, and the 29 came against New Mexico State. A 16-20 home loss to San José State was the one that got away. Their Homecoming game against 4-1 New Mexico on October 17 isn't in our numbers yet, so everything here runs through the 12-30 loss at Arizona State. That result decides whether Hawai'i gets on a plane for Illinois with a 4-game skid or with a little relief.

The trip itself is part of this game. Hawai'i goes from Honolulu to the northern Illinois plains, and the forecast is cloudy, 68 degrees, with 10 mph of wind. That's fine football weather, but it's nothing like home. It's also the Rainbow Warriors' third road trip of the year, and the first 2 went badly: 10-27 at Wyoming and 12-30 at Arizona State. NIU's home results haven't been much better. Illinois State edged the Huskies 28-24 at Huskie Stadium, and Air Force beat them 28-7 there.

10/18LvsNew Mexico10-21
10/11L@Arizona State12-30
10/04LvsSan José State16-20
09/26L@Wyoming10-27
09/13WvsNew Mexico State29-19
10/17L@Wyoming23-41
10/10LvsAir Force7-28
09/26L@Georgia State14-35
09/20L@25Arizona17-42
09/12LvsIllinois State24-28

The Hawai'i receiver room is the availability story. R. Haynes IV is done for the season, P. Ashlock is out for an extended stretch with an undisclosed injury, and C. Brown has been listed questionable with a shoulder. For an offense that has topped 16 points once in its last 5, losing 2 wideouts and possibly a third is a real problem. Whoever ends up on the field Saturday may not have taken many meaningful snaps yet. NIU doesn't list a single injury, which is about the only thing on its sheet that looks better than Hawai'i's.

So this is a matchup of opposite weaknesses. NIU has given up at least 28 in every game of its last 5, including 41 and 42. Hawai'i has trouble getting to 17. Something has to give, and how it goes probably depends on whether the Huskies can keep a Hawai'i quarterback from doing what Hughes just did to them. The board for this one hasn't posted yet. When it does, both teams' most recent games will matter more than their records.

Nobody outside the two fan bases will call this must-see, but it isn't meaningless either. Neither team has a conference win, and the Huskies are still looking for their first win of any kind. A home date against a banged-up team that has traveled 4,000-plus miles is about as good a chance as Northern Illinois is going to get this fall.

Hawai'i vs. Northern Illinois: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Oct. 24) — Winless Northern Illinois Hosts Hawai'i With Somebody's First League Win Up · Barstool Bush