Illinois Fighting Illini at Michigan State Spartans

Oct 10, 20262:30 PM CTFS1East Lansing, MI
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Two 2-3 teams, two 0-2 Big Ten records, one afternoon at Spartan Stadium. One of them gets off the conference schneid on Saturday, October 10, and the other keeps sinking.

Week 6 · 10/10, 2:30 PM CTFS1
Kickoff79°14 mph

Illinois and Michigan State are both 2-3 and 0-2 in the Big Ten, and both have lost the last 2 or more. Michigan State's offense has scored 26 points across a 3-game skid, lost its top running back for the season and has a quarterback question after Cam Fancher's knee injury at Wisconsin. Illinois brings a steadier passing game led by Collin Dixon, but its tight end room is gutted and 2 skill players are questionable. The game probably comes down to whether the Spartans can find any offense at home.

Illinois Fighting Illini
  • Collin Dixon has 8 TD catches already
  • Balanced attack: 225 passing, 120 rushing vs Purdue
  • Faces an MSU offense with 10 points or fewer in 2 of the last 3
  • 3 tight ends lost for the season
  • Forster and Rankin both questionable
  • Scoreless 1st quarter in home loss to Purdue
Michigan State Spartans
  • Back home after 11 straight road losses
  • Extra week to settle the QB plan
  • RB Cam Edwards out for the season (knee)
  • Fancher's knee leaves QB rotation uncertain
  • Couldn't stop Wisconsin's run game

Nobody's mistaking this for a marquee date, but it matters plenty to the two people running these programs. Illinois is coming off a 24-17 home loss to Purdue, which made it 2 straight defeats after the Ohio State game. Michigan State has it worse. The Spartans got blown out 31-3 at Wisconsin, their 3rd straight loss and, per Yahoo Sports, their 11th straight road defeat. Saturday's game is at least back in East Lansing.

The quarterback room is the first thing to sort out on the Michigan State side. Alessio Milivojevic started at Wisconsin, and Cam Fancher was the change-of-pace QB in a 2-man system. Fancher opened the second half with MSU down 17-3, then his right knee gave out on a non-contact scramble on the opening drive of the 3rd quarter, and he didn't return. Fancher is listed questionable, so this week's practice reports decide whether the Spartans still have a rotation or just Milivojevic. The State News had already argued the 2-QB setup was hurting the offense more than helping it.

The backfield took a bigger hit. Cam Edwards still shows up as questionable on the injury list, but Pat Fitzgerald has said the Connecticut transfer will miss the rest of the season with a right knee injury. Michigan State already couldn't run the ball. Over the 3-game skid the Spartans have scored 10, 13 and 3 points, and at Wisconsin, per WJR, they never put together a single sustained drive. Now the top back is gone too.

Illinois at least has a passing game that keeps scoring. Collin Dixon caught his 8th touchdown of the season against Purdue, and the Illini split the yardage almost evenly in that one, 225 passing and 120 rushing, on 345 total. The trouble was the start. Illinois didn't score in the 1st quarter, trailed 13-7 at the half, and its 10 fourth-quarter points only made it close. Ismael Kante led the defense with 10 tackles in a game where Purdue matched the Illini yard for yard.

10/03LvsPurdue17-24
09/26L@#5 Ohio State19-42
09/19WvsSouthern Illinois48-10
09/12LvsDuke27-31
09/04WvsUAB42-23
10/03L@Wisconsin3-31
09/26LvsNebraska13-31
09/19L@#3 Notre Dame10-27
09/12WvsEastern Michigan35-7
09/05WvsToledo30-20

Illinois isn't healthy either, and the damage is concentrated at tight end. G. Smith, B. Thurman and T. Hollinger are all done for the year, which leaves very little at the position. Receiver A. Perry is out after shoulder surgery, and running back J. Forster (knee) and receiver N. Rankin (leg) were both listed questionable going into the Purdue game. Whether those 2 are available in East Lansing goes a long way toward what Illinois can run besides throwing to Dixon.

So it's a defense that just gave up 24 to Purdue against an offense that has scored 26 points in its last 3 games combined. The forecast won't help either team as an excuse: 80 degrees, mostly sunny, 9 mph wind and no rain. Michigan State has home field and a week to settle on a quarterback. Illinois has the more reliable offense. Somebody leaves at 1-2 in the league, and the other team's season starts to look very long.

Illinois Fighting Illini at Michigan State Spartans — Illinois and Michigan State Meet in East Lansing Looking for a Big Ten Win | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush