Iowa State Cyclones at Arizona Wildcats

Oct 24, 202612:00 PM CTTucson, AZ
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Arizona hasn't started a season this well since 2014, and Iowa State has spent October trying to find touchdowns. Those 2 trends meet in the Tucson sun on Saturday, October 24.

SAT 10/24, 12:00 PM CT · Week 8

Arizona (5-1, 2-1 Big 12) is off to its best start since 2014 and scored 52 at West Virginia without its top 3 receivers. Iowa State (3-3, 1-2) has a defense that keeps it in games, but its offense has managed 10 to 17 points against Iowa, Utah and BYU. The game comes down to whether the Cyclones can score enough on the road to keep up with Noah Fifita. No betting board has posted yet.

Iowa State Cyclones
  • Held BYU to 24 on the road
  • Put 45 on West Virginia, a common opponent
  • 3 of their losses were one-score or two-score games
  • 10, 13, 17 points against Iowa, Utah, BYU
  • Raynor held to 98 passing yards at BYU
  • WRs Pabst (season) and Bailey both out
Arizona Wildcats
  • Fifita threw 3 TDs at West Virginia
  • Scored 52 without top 3 receivers
  • 4 straight wins, 2-1 in Big 12

It starts at quarterback. Noah Fifita threw 3 touchdown passes in Morgantown as Arizona hung 52 on West Virginia, its former coach's team, and that was without its top 3 receivers, all hurt the week before against Cincinnati. Jaylen Raynor had a much rougher night at BYU: 98 passing yards and 1 touchdown, the score coming early in the 4th quarter after a muffed BYU punt gave the Cyclones a short field. One of these offenses is finding answers with backups. The other can't find enough answers with anybody.

Receivers are the story on both sidelines. Arizona has already lost T. Spivey for the season, G. Richardson is nursing a hamstring and tight end C. Rusk has been out with a leg injury, yet Fifita still found Isaiah Mizell for 2 scores and the run game chipped in touchdowns from Antwan Roberts, Quincy Craig and Kendrick Reescano. Iowa State is thinner and has fewer ways to cover for it: C. Pabst is done for the year with a knee injury, and J. Bailey has been out since the start of September with no return date. Nobody has posted a board for this one yet, so there's no price to argue about.

Check Iowa State's scores against real opponents and the problem jumps out: 13 against Iowa, 17 against Utah, 10 at BYU. The Cyclones look like a different team against the softer part of the schedule, with 55 on Bowling Green and a 45-42 shootout win over West Virginia. One local columnist summed up the BYU loss in a headline that asked for an offense, any offense. Getting to 21 points against a team that scores the way Arizona has lately is the first thing Ames has to figure out.

10/10L@8BYU10-24
10/03WvsWest Virginia45-42
09/26Lvs12Utah17-31
09/19WvsBowling Green55-7
09/12L@20Iowa13-16
10/10W@West Virginia52-31
10/04WvsCincinnati34-7
09/26W@Washington State34-24
09/20WvsNorthern Illinois42-17
09/12L@8BYU17-28

Arizona's case is pretty simple. The Wildcats have won 4 straight, and the BYU loss in Provo is the only blemish so far. They beat Cincinnati 34-7 at home, and the West Virginia win came on the road with a fumble-return touchdown from Lee Molette III mixed in. The caveat is the defense. It held Cincinnati to 7, then gave up 31 in Morgantown, and that's the same West Virginia team Iowa State put 45 on. If the Cyclones show up with anything like their West Virginia offense, this turns into a track meet.

Neither team has another game on the schedule before this one, so both get time to heal up. That matters more for Arizona, which could get Richardson back from the hamstring and give Fifita a real receiver room again. It's a noon kickoff in Tucson for a Big 12 game that suddenly carries weight. Arizona is 2-1 in league play and has a real shot at staying in the conference picture. Iowa State is 1-2 and needs a road win just to get back to even. The Cyclones haven't shown they can beat a team this good on the road this season, and that's the story until they do.

Iowa State Cyclones at Arizona Wildcats — Iowa State Brings Its Missing Offense To Red-Hot Tucson | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush