Iowa State Cyclones at BYU Cougars

Oct 9, 20269:15 PM CTESPNProvo, UT
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: BYU is unbeaten, ranked No. 10 and hosting a Friday night game in Provo. Iowa State comes to town off a homecoming shootout that looked fun from the stands and worried anyone watching the Cyclones' defense.

Week 6 · FRI OCT 9, 9:15 PM CTESPN
Kickoff74°

No. 10 BYU (4-0) hosts Iowa State (3-2) on Friday night after grinding out a 17-10 win at TCU on just 216 yards of offense. Iowa State won a 45-42 shootout with West Virginia behind Aiden Flora's 5-touchdown day but gave up 42 points with a defensive tackle and a cornerback out. The game turns on whether BYU's offense bounces back in Provo and whether the Cyclones' defense can slow it down.

Iowa State Cyclones
  • Aiden Flora: 212 rush yards, 5 total TDs vs WVU
  • Hung 45 on a Big 12 opponent last Saturday
  • Defense forced the game-sealing fumble late
  • Allowed 42 to West Virginia, blew 14-point lead
  • DL Crawford and CB Singletary both out
  • WR Pabst done for year, Bailey also out
BYU Cougars
  • 4-0, already 2-0 in Big 12 play
  • Held TCU to 10 on the road
  • Home in Provo on a Friday night
  • Offense managed just 216 yards at TCU
  • RB Moa and S Damuni out long-term
  • OG Gentry, LB Esera missed TCU game

This one has no quarterback duel to sell. It has 2 offenses that went in opposite directions last Saturday. Iowa State outlasted West Virginia 45-42, and Aiden Flora did nearly all of it: a career-high 212 rushing yards, 3 rushing touchdowns and 2 more through the air. He scored the winner from 2 yards out with 1:57 left. BYU went to Fort Worth and won ugly, 17-10 over TCU, with Bear Bachmeier's offense held to 216 total yards.

BYU took a punch at TCU and still left 4-0, 2-0 in the Big 12. That is how a top-10 team wins on the road when the offense isn't there. Iowa State is 3-2 and 1-1 in league play, and its 2 losses tell you where it stands: a 16-13 loss at Iowa and a 31-17 home loss to Utah. Against the good teams on the schedule, the Cyclones haven't found enough offense. The board has BYU as a heavy home favorite, and nothing from last weekend argues with that.

Iowa State's real problem is the other side of the ball. West Virginia came back from 14 down and twice took the lead in a fourth quarter where the 2 teams combined for 31 points. The Cyclones only survived because linebacker Sullivan Schlimgen forced a fumble and Seth Johnson recovered it with 40 seconds left. That came with DL C. Crawford and CB J. Singletary both out, and neither has a return date. A defense that just gave up 42 now gets a full week to prepare for a BYU offense that struggled to move the ball at TCU.

10/03WvsWest Virginia45-42
09/26Lvs#12 Utah17-31
09/19WvsBowling Green55-7
09/12L@#20 Iowa13-16
09/05WvsSoutheast Missouri State38-10
10/03W@TCU17-10
09/20W@Colorado State41-23
09/12WvsArizona28-17
09/06WvsUtah Tech63-7

The injury lists cost both teams something. Iowa State lost WR C. Pabst for the season with a knee injury, and J. Bailey has been out since the opener. That leaves a thin receiver room and helps explain why the offense goes through Flora's legs. BYU is still without RB S. Moa and safety R. Damuni, who is out for an extended stretch. OG A. Gentry and LB S. Esera both missed the TCU game, so check the midweek report for whether either is back.

An early forecast for Provo calls for clear skies, mid-70s and almost no wind, so the weather won't be an excuse for either side. The game comes down to 2 questions. Can BYU's offense look like the one that scored 63 on Utah Tech and 41 at Colorado State, not the one that managed 17 in Fort Worth? And can Iowa State's thinned defense get off the field without needing a fumble in the last minute? If Flora runs like he did on homecoming, the Cyclones can hang around for a while.

BYU has the ranking, the home crowd and a defense that just held a Big 12 road opponent to 10. Iowa State has the most explosive player on the field and some real defensive problems. It's a good Friday night game, but Iowa State has to prove it can hold up on defense before anyone treats it as a toss-up.

Iowa State Cyclones at BYU Cougars — Iowa State Brings Aiden Flora and a Leaky Defense to Provo | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush