James Madison Dukes at UConn Huskies

Nov 14, 202611:00 AM CTCBSSNEast Hartford, CT
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: James Madison is 8-2 and just put up 54 on the road. UConn is 4-5, has lost 2 straight, and needs to win 2 of its last 3 to go bowling, which turns a Sun Belt-vs-independent November game into a real one for the Huskies.

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James Madison comes in at 8-2 with Evans playing well and a fresh 54-point road win, while UConn is 4-5, has given up 35 or more in each of its last 2 games, and needs 2 wins in its last 3 to reach a bowl. The Dukes' 2 losses were both 3-point Sun Belt games, so the gap is clearer on paper than on the field. The game hinges on whether UConn's defense can slow Evans in a cold, wet game in East Hartford.

James Madison Dukes
  • Evans accounted for 4 TDs at Southern Miss
  • 38 second-half points in the last outing
  • Extra rest after a Thursday-night road game
  • Dropped 2 straight 3-point games in October
  • Cold, wet November trip to Connecticut
UConn Huskies
  • Bowl hopes ride on this home game
  • Scored 34+ in 3 of the last 5
  • Just played in rain, handles the conditions
  • Allowed 35 and 38 in the last 2
  • UNC controlled the clock from start to finish

JC Evans runs this JMU offense. He went 19-of-26 for 251 yards and a touchdown at Southern Miss, then ran for 47 yards and 3 more scores. That 54-23 win snapped a 2-game skid, and the Dukes put up 38 of those points after halftime. When they get rolling, they can bury a team in one half.

That skid is worth a look. JMU lost to App State 34-31 on the road and to Troy 24-21 at home. Both were 3-point games, and both came in Sun Belt play, which is why an 8-2 team sits at 5-2 in the league. The Dukes aren't getting blown out. They've just dropped coin flips. They also get an extra couple of days to prepare, since the Southern Miss win came on a Thursday night and UConn played Saturday.

UConn's stretch has gone the other way. North Carolina came to East Hartford, scored 28 in the first half and controlled the clock the rest of the way in a 38-21 win that also marked Bill Belichick's return to New England. Before that, the Huskies lost 35-26 at Air Force. Opponents have scored 35 and 38 in UConn's last 2 games. That's a problem with Evans coming to town.

11/06W@Southern Miss54-23
10/29LvsTroy21-24
10/22L@App State31-34
10/17WvsGeorgia State49-22
10/11W@Georgia Southern27-24
11/07LvsNorth Carolina21-38
10/31L@Air Force26-35
10/23WvsMassachusetts35-16
10/10W@Temple34-20
10/03LvsSyracuse41-42

There are reasons to think UConn can make this a game. The Huskies scored 41 on Syracuse in a 1-point loss, put up 34 at Temple and 35 on UMass in the 2 wins sandwiched between. When they get going, they can match points with an offense like JMU's. What they haven't done lately is get stops. That's the real question for Saturday: can the Huskies slow the Dukes down at all, or does it turn into a shootout they've already lost twice this year.

The weather could slow everyone down. The forecast for Saturday, November 14 at Pratt & Whitney Stadium calls for 37 degrees with light drizzle and 8 mph wind. The UNC game turned into a rainy slog after halftime, so UConn just played in exactly that kind of weather. That's a big change for a JMU team coming off a game in Hattiesburg. For the Huskies, the stakes are simple. Lose this one and the bowl math gets very tight.

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