Kansas Jayhawks at West Virginia Mountaineers

Nov 14, 20264:30 PM CTESPNUMorgantown, WV
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Kansas has spent the last month losing football games by a hair, and West Virginia has spent it giving up points by the bushel. Something has to give Saturday in Morgantown, and at 3-6, the Jayhawks have no margin left to burn.

SAT 11/14, 4:30 PM CT · Week 11ESPNU
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Kansas (3-6) visits West Virginia (5-4) with the Jayhawks needing a win to keep bowl hopes alive and the Mountaineers 1 win from eligibility. Kansas has lost 3 straight 1-score games, the latest a 33-32 loss to UCF on a last-second touchdown. West Virginia's offense keeps scoring in bunches, but its defense has given up 42 or more in 4 of its last 5. The game likely comes down to whether that defense can get stops, and a cold, windy November forecast in Morgantown could change the expected shootout.

Kansas Jayhawks
  • Scored 25 unanswered in 2nd half vs UCF
  • Faces a defense allowing 42+ in 4 of 5
  • Season on the line, nothing to save
  • Lost 3 straight 1-score games, collapsing late
  • Allowed 73-yard game-winning drive in final minute
  • 1-5 in conference play
West Virginia Mountaineers
  • Offense scored 42+ in 3 of last 5
  • Home in cold November conditions
  • Won at TCU, where Kansas lost
  • Defense gave up 41 in a half at Texas Tech
  • Allowed 12 unanswered points in the 4th to lose
  • Rodriguez called the defense "gross"

Here's the setup for Saturday, November 14: 2 Big 12 teams playing for bowl math, not titles. West Virginia sits at 5-4 and is 1 win from eligibility. Kansas is 3-6, so a 7th loss would finish its bowl hopes. Neither team is ranked, and neither has been playing like a team that should be. Kansas is 1-4 in its last 5, and West Virginia is 2-3 in that stretch, coming off a shootout loss at Texas Tech that went past midnight.

Lawrence will be living with the UCF loss all week. Kansas trailed big, scored 25 unanswered points in the second half and took the lead with 1:06 left. Then UCF went 73 yards in 10 plays and won it 33-32 with a touchdown in the final seconds. Before that it was a 22-16 loss at TCU, and the lone win in the stretch was a 25-24 escape against Baylor. That's 3 straight games decided by 6 points or fewer. This team keeps getting close and keeps finding a way to lose late.

West Virginia's week was the same story in a higher-scoring game. The Mountaineers trailed by 14 at halftime in Lubbock, came back to lead 48-41 after Hawkins ran in his 2nd touchdown late in the 3rd quarter, then gave up 12 unanswered points in the 4th and lost 53-48. Rich Rodriguez didn't sugarcoat it. He called his defense's first half "gross" after Texas Tech hung 41 on it before halftime.

11/07LvsUCF32-33
10/31L@TCU16-22
10/24WvsBaylor25-24
10/17L@Kansas State24-35
10/11L@2Utah24-41
11/08L@10Texas Tech48-53
10/24W@TCU24-20
10/17WvsCincinnati45-42
10/10Lvs22Arizona31-52
10/03L@Iowa State42-45

That defense is the story for Saturday. West Virginia has allowed 45 to Iowa State, 52 to Arizona, 42 to Cincinnati and 53 to Texas Tech in its last 5. The only time it held anyone down was a 24-20 road win at TCU. Kansas scored 32 against UCF and 24 in 3 of its last 5, and this is the softest defense it has seen in a while. The Mountaineers' offense has kept them in games: 48, 45 and 42 points in 3 of the last 5. When this team wins, it's usually by outscoring people.

The TCU result is the one common opponent worth a look. West Virginia won in Fort Worth by 4, and Kansas lost there by 6. That's not a huge gap, and it matches a game that should come down to the last few possessions. The early forecast for Morgantown is 37 degrees, cloudy, with wind around 13 mph. That's November football in the mountains, and it could slow down 2 offenses that have been putting up big numbers in warmer places.

For West Virginia, it's simple: win at home and lock up a bowl with games to spare. For Kansas, after weeks of almost, this is the point where close losses stop mattering. Lose this one, and the season ends after the final regular-season game.

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