Kansas State Wildcats at Cincinnati Bearcats

Sep 26, 20266:00 PM CTCincinnati, OH
By JR·2 min read
AT
6:00 PM CT

TLDR: Kansas State brings a perfect record and three lopsided wins into Cincinnati, but the Bearcats' own unbeaten start survived a real scare just one week before this one.

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Both Cincinnati and Kansas State arrive at 3-0, but the Bearcats needed a 28-point second-half comeback against a MAC opponent to get there while the Wildcats have yet to be seriously tested. The Big 12 opener for both programs turns on whether Cincinnati's defense was a one-week problem or a real vulnerability, and whether Kansas State's blowout results hold up against better competition on the road.

Kansas State
  • 3-0 with wins by an average of nearly 25 points
  • Blew out Nicholls 71-3 to open the year
  • Hasn't faced a team that punched back yet
  • First true road test comes in Big 12 opener
Cincinnati
  • 3-0 for the first time since 2023
  • JC French IV led a 4-TD second-half comeback
  • Defense allowed ~10 yards per play in a half vs a MAC team
  • Trailed a MAC opponent 28-7 last week out

Cincinnati quarterback JC French IV has to be the starting point here, because he's the reason the Bearcats' season is still spotless. Against Miami (OH) on September 19, Cincinnati fell behind 28-7 to a MAC opponent before French led four second-half touchdown drives to escape 35-31. That's the version of Cincinnati that shows up Saturday, September 26, in the Big 12 opener for both programs — a team that can still find points in a hurry, but one that just got exposed for stretches against a team picked to finish in the middle of the MAC.

The bigger flag from that Miami game wasn't the offense — it was a Cincinnati defense that allowed roughly 10 yards per play in the first half to a freshman quarterback making his mark. Kansas State hasn't had to answer anything like that yet. The Wildcats have outscored Nicholls, Washington State and Tulane by a combined margin that includes a 71-3 laugher, and while that's a perfectly good way to open a season, none of those three offenses forced Kansas State to play from behind.

Nippert Stadium hasn't seen a Bearcats loss yet this year, and Cincinnati has stayed home for its entire non-conference slate — Boston College, Western Carolina and now Miami (OH) all came through Nippert before this one. That's a program that knows its building, its snap counts and its rotations cold heading into conference play, even if the results against Miami suggest the margin for error just got smaller.

09/19WvsTulane31-20
09/12WvsWashington State34-7
09/05WvsNicholls71-3
11/29WvsColorado24-14
11/22L@#15 Utah47-51
09/19WvsMiami (OH)35-31
09/12WvsWestern Carolina62-10
09/05WvsBoston College34-15
01/02LvsNavy13-35
11/29L@TCU23-45

For Kansas State, this is the first real road environment of the season and the first true step up in competition, both landing in the same week. A true road trip into a Big 12 opener, against a team that just needed a furious comeback to stay unbeaten, is a different animal than anything on the Wildcats' schedule so far — favorable as their results have looked on paper.

  • QuestionableM. Lovett (WR)Lovett id dealing with an arm injury and it is unclear if he will play against the Tulane on Saturday, September 19th.09/12
  • QuestionableB. Barnett (QB)Barnett is bothered by a lower body injury, and it remains to be seen if he will take the field against Tulane on Saturday, September 19th.09/12
  • OutD. Duff (QB)Duff is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will not take the field against Tulane on Saturday, September 19th.09/19
  • OutJ. Pastore (OG)Pastore has been shut down for the remainder of the season with a lower leg injury.08/21
  • OutNewD. Witherspoon (TE)Witherspoon has been placed on the injured list with a undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.09/24

Neither side has had to burn a signature win yet, which is what makes this one worth watching: Cincinnati has to prove the Miami OH scare was a blip and not a preview of its Big 12 defense, and Kansas State has to prove three blowouts translate against a step up in competition, on the road, in front of a Nippert crowd that's had a week to talk about that comeback.

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Kansas State Wildcats at Cincinnati Bearcats — Two Unbeaten Big 12 Newcomers Collide at Nippert | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush