Kentucky Wildcats at South Carolina Gamecocks

Oct 3, 20263:15 PM CTColumbia, SC
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: South Carolina has 2 SEC games behind it and 2 losses to show for them. Kentucky comes to Williams-Brice on Saturday, October 3, already holding a road win at Kyle Field, so this is the week the Gamecocks find out if September was a blip or the start of a bad season.

Week 5 · SAT OCT 3, 3:15 PM CT
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Kentucky visits South Carolina with the Gamecocks 0-2 in SEC play after a home loss to Mississippi State and a 49-18 defeat at Alabama, while first-year coach Will Stein's Wildcats already own a road win at Texas A&M. Both teams got handled by Alabama by similar margins, so the game turns on whether South Carolina's LaNorris Sellers-led offense under new coordinator Kendal Briles can cover for a defense that has allowed 90 points in 2 conference games. The home side is favored by a little over a field goal.

Kentucky Wildcats
  • Won 31-21 at Texas A&M in hostile Kyle Field
  • Offense has scored 31+ in 2 of 3
  • South Carolina defense allowed 41 and 49 in SEC play
  • Blown out 45-17 by Alabama at home
  • First-year staff still finding its footing
  • Only 1 road game on the résumé so far
South Carolina Gamecocks
  • Offense hung 34 on Mississippi State
  • Sellers back as the starting quarterback
  • Home game at Williams-Brice after a road trip
  • 0-2 in SEC play, including a home loss
  • Allowed 90 points across 2 conference games
  • New coordinator's offense stalled at 18 in Tuscaloosa

Start with the quarterbacks, because that is where South Carolina's ceiling lives. LaNorris Sellers is back as the starter for Shane Beamer, now in his 6th season, and he is running a new offense under first-year coordinator Kendal Briles, who replaced Mike Shula. Against Kent State and Towson the Gamecocks scored 57 and 45. The real test came in SEC play, and it did not go well.

Mississippi State came into Columbia and won 41-34. Then South Carolina went to Tuscaloosa and lost 49-18 to No. 8 Alabama. The offense can score, as it showed against the Bulldogs, but a defense that has given up 90 points in 2 conference games is the thing Clayton White's unit has to answer for coming home. Kentucky is a 1-score underdog on the road, which tells you the book still trusts the Gamecocks at home more than their September does.

Kentucky is a different story. Will Stein's first season has been about as bumpy as you'd expect, and it's produced one real statement. The Wildcats opened with a 45-13 win over FCS Youngstown State, got flattened 45-17 at home by Alabama, and then went into College Station and beat Texas A&M 31-21 in front of 105,186. That made them 2-1 as of September 20, with a home date against South Alabama still to come before this one.

That shared opponent makes a handy yardstick. Both teams have now played Alabama, and it went about the same for both: Kentucky lost by 28 at Kroger Field, South Carolina lost by 31 on the road. Neither team belongs in that weight class yet. The difference is what they did against the rest of the SEC. Kentucky won a road game nobody expected it to win. South Carolina lost a home game it was expected to win.

09/26WvsSouth Alabama45-21
09/19W@Texas A&M31-21
09/12Lvs#7 Alabama17-45
09/05WvsYoungstown State45-13
09/26L@#7 Alabama18-49
09/12WvsTowson45-9
09/05WvsKent State57-0

The early forecast for Columbia says 81 degrees with a 38% chance of light drizzle and barely any wind. That is a week out and will change, but it doesn't look like weather that changes how either offense wants to play. The bigger question is whether Briles' offense can carry a defense that has leaked big plays for 2 straight weeks, or whether Kentucky's offense, which put 31 on A&M, keeps the pressure on for 4 quarters.

The stakes are plain. A third straight SEC loss for South Carolina, at home, and the season starts to wobble in October. A Kentucky win would give Stein 2 conference road wins in his first year, which is a lot more than anyone in Lexington penciled in. The picks go up when the board opens. For now, this is the rare mid-tier SEC game where both teams have something to prove.

Kentucky Wildcats at South Carolina Gamecocks — Kentucky Visits Columbia With South Carolina Searching For An SEC Win | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush