Miami (OH) RedHawks at Massachusetts Minutemen

Fri Oct 9 · 11:00 PM CT
By Pablo SanchezUpdated 6d ago·2 min read
Miami (OH) RedHawksM-OH
Massachusetts MinutemenMASS
AT
11:00 PM CT

Miami (OH) enters as a preseason MAC favorite chasing a fourth straight title-game trip. UMass is still trying to prove 0-12 was a floor, not a ceiling.

Bush’s Picks
M-OHMASS
M-OHMASS
OverUnder
Best BetMiami (OH)

Miami (OH) walks in with real MAC-title pedigree and a defense that returns its core, while UMass is still trying to find a quarterback out of a three-man portal competition. Even with Miami's own QB question marks, the RedHawks have three straight conference title-game trips of proof they find a way to win. Backing Miami (OH) to win outright is the safer read until UMass shows it can actually cover a defensive back seven that got shredded a year ago.

Miami (OH)
  • 3 straight MAC title-game trips under Chuck Martin
  • Deep returning defensive core led by McCain
  • Portal RB Nelson brings 1,802-yard proven production
  • No proven starting QB, 3-way open competition
  • First-year OC replacing a QB-and-WR-depleted offense
  • Lost top pass-rush producer off 2025 defense
Massachusetts
  • Nearly total roster rebuild via portal at needed spots
  • Multiple experienced portal QBs upgrade the position
  • Defensive front got specific portal reinforcements at edge
  • Coming off 0-12 and a 16-game losing streak
  • No named starting QB heading toward fall camp
  • Pass defense allowed 67%-plus completions in 7 games in 2025

Chuck Martin has made Miami (OH) the model of MAC stability, and this trip to Amherst comes with the RedHawks picked among the conference's top teams again. But the engine underneath that reputation is genuinely unproven right now — Miami churned through 3 different starting quarterbacks in 2025 and heads into 2026 with a brand-new offensive coordinator and an open competition at the position.

UMass, meanwhile, is trying to build off literally nothing. The Minutemen went 0-12 in 2025, their sixth winless season and one of the worst in modern FBS history, and joined the MAC as a full member on the heels of it. Coach Joe Harasymiak inherited a roster that lost 68 players and has since rebuilt almost entirely through the transfer portal, bringing in experienced arms like Pop Watson and RJ Johnson III to fix a quarterback spot that was a black hole a year ago.

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M-OH Miami (OH)
MASS Massachusetts

The defensive numbers tell the real story of where UMass has to close the gap. The Minutemen managed just 13 sacks all of last season and got torched for 67%-plus completion rates in 7 different games. Harasymiak went out and specifically targeted the defensive front in the portal, landing edge rushers Andrew DePaepe and Justin Krueger to try to fix that pass rush before conference play gets real.

Miami (OH) RedHawks
Miami (OH) RedHawks
Oct 2?vs Bowling Green
Sep 25?vs UConn
Sep 19?@ Cincinnati
Sep 12?vs Holy Cross
Sep 5?@ Pittsburgh
Massachusetts Minutemen
Massachusetts Minutemen
Oct 2?vs Eastern Michigan
Sep 25?@ Sacramento State
Sep 19?vs Stonehill
Sep 12?vs Sacred Heart
Sep 3?@ Rutgers
Recent form.

Miami's floor is still higher than most MAC teams' ceiling — 3 straight trips to the MAC title game under Martin is not a fluke, and the RedHawks have proven they can win ugly even through instability. Linebacker Malcolm McCain anchors a defense that returns most of its core, and the addition of Monmouth transfer running back Rodney Nelson, who put up 1,802 yards last season, gives Miami a proven ball-carrier no matter who ends up at quarterback.

Miami (OH) RedHawks
Miami (OH) RedHawks
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Massachusetts Minutemen
Massachusetts Minutemen
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Injury report — info via ESPN.

This is UMass's first crack at Miami (OH) since officially joining the MAC, and it lands in a stretch — Eastern Michigan the week before, Miami the week after — that looks like the Minutemen's best realistic shot at breaking a 16-game losing streak. Whether that's a fair read depends entirely on which version of Miami's rebuilt offense shows up, and how far along UMass's new-look defensive front actually is by early October.

Both programs are answering the same question in opposite directions: Miami is trying to prove last year's chaos was a blip on the way to another MAC crown, and UMass is trying to prove 0-12 was rock bottom instead of a preview. Neither answer will be fully in yet by this one, but it's an early gut-check for both.

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