Michigan State Spartans at UCLA Bruins

Oct 24, 20262:30 PM CTCBSPasadena, CA
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: UCLA is 6-0 and ranked No. 12. Michigan State has lost 5 straight, and the last 2 slipped away by a combined 4 points. On Saturday, October 24 at the Rose Bowl, a Spartans team that keeps losing close games runs into a Bruins team that keeps winning them.

SAT 10/24, 2:30 PM CT · Week 8CBS
WWWWW
Kickoff 77°

Unbeaten No. 12 UCLA hosts a 2-5 Michigan State team that has lost 5 straight, including heartbreakers to Illinois and Northwestern decided by 4 combined points. Both sides have quarterback uncertainty: Cam Fancher is questionable with a knee injury, and UCLA won its last game behind backup Ty Dieffenbach. The Bruins' offense has scored 17 points in each of its last 2 games, which gives the Spartans a narrow path if they can stay close.

Michigan State Spartans
  • Outgained Northwestern 184-110 in the first half
  • Scored 37 on Illinois two weeks ago
  • Last 2 losses decided by 4 combined points
  • Fancher questionable with a knee injury
  • Edwards and Taplin also questionable
  • 0-4 in Big Ten play, can't close games
UCLA Bruins
  • Held Oregon to 15 and Wisconsin to 7
  • Dieffenbach threw for 264 yards in his first start
  • Knight and Woods both scoring on the ground
  • Starting QB status unclear after backup started
  • Offense scored only 17 in each of the last 2
  • Pleasant and Davis both missed the Wisconsin game

Both teams have a quarterback question this week. On Michigan State's side, Cam Fancher is listed questionable with a knee injury, and nobody has said yet whether he'll play in Pasadena. UCLA has its own version. Backup Ty Dieffenbach made his first start as a Bruin in the 17-7 win over Wisconsin and went 22 of 33 for 264 yards. Until UCLA says who's under center on Saturday, both offenses are hard to read.

Michigan State's skid looks worse than the play has been lately. Against Northwestern, Pat Fitzgerald's team outgained the visitors 184-110 in the first half and led 14-10 at the break. With a minute left, Liam Boyd lined up a 33-yard field goal to take the lead, and Northwestern blocked it. Former Spartan Aidan Chiles then drove the Wildcats into range for the winning kick with 2 seconds left. The week before, Illinois won 38-37. Losing by 1 and then by 3 is a different problem from getting run off the field, and it's not a problem a 2-5 team usually gets to fix at the Rose Bowl.

There's no betting board posted for this one yet, which fits a game where both quarterback situations are still open. The ugliest part of Michigan State's skid came earlier: 27-10 at Notre Dame, 31-13 at home to Nebraska and 31-3 at Wisconsin. The defense eventually tightened up. The offense needs to show it can do that too.

10/17Lvs24Northwestern21-24
10/10LvsIllinois37-38
10/03L@Wisconsin3-31
09/26LvsNebraska13-31
09/19L@4Notre Dame10-27
10/17WvsWisconsin17-7
10/10W@Oregon17-15
09/26W@Maryland54-3
09/20WvsPurdue52-38
09/12WvsSan Diego State28-10

UCLA hasn't been pretty lately. After putting up 52 on Purdue and 54 on Maryland, the Bruins won 17-15 at Oregon and then 17-7 over Wisconsin. They've won the last 2 with defense and by not giving games away. Against Wisconsin, Wayne Knight and Anthony Woods each ran for a touchdown, and the Badgers hurt themselves with 10 penalties for 102 yards, 4 of them on one early drive. Wins like that count the same in the standings, but they don't show much separation.

Michigan State has more than the quarterback to worry about. RB C. Edwards is questionable with a knee injury, and WR C. Taplin was added Saturday with a foot injury. If all 3 sit, the Spartans will be without a big chunk of the offense that scored 37 on Illinois. UCLA lost WR M. Matthews for the season back in September, and CB R. Pleasant and OG J. Davis both missed the Wisconsin game with undisclosed injuries. The early forecast calls for 74 degrees, clear skies and almost no wind, so weather shouldn't decide it. What will: whether UCLA's starting quarterback plays, and whether Michigan State can finish a close game for once.

Michigan State vs. UCLA: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Oct. 24) — Winless-in-October Michigan State Heads West to Face Unbeaten UCLA · Barstool Bush