Mississippi State Bulldogs at Texas Longhorns

Oct 31, 20266:30 PM CTESPNAustin, TX
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Texas got a much-needed win over No. 7 Ole Miss and gets an unranked Mississippi State team at home next. The Bulldogs have lost 3 straight and their starting quarterback has left each of the last 2 games in the first quarter.

SAT 10/31, 6:30 PM CT · Week 9ESPN
Kickoff 76°

No. 19 Texas (5-2) beat No. 7 Ole Miss on a last-play interception and now hosts a Mississippi State team (4-3) that has lost 3 straight. The Bulldogs scored 15 points in their last 2 games, both of which starting quarterback Kamario Taylor left injured in the first quarter. The Longhorns' recurring problem is the end of games: 3 of their last 4 results were decided by a single score, and opponents have recovered 2 late onside kicks. The odds board isn't posted yet, so the week's main question is Taylor's availability.

Mississippi State Bulldogs
  • Scored 41 and 31 in September wins
  • Kamario Taylor healthy changes the offense
  • Taylor exited first quarter in each of last 2
  • 15 total points over the last 2 games
  • Allowed a season-high 467 yards to Oklahoma
Texas Longhorns
  • Just beat No. 7 Ole Miss at home
  • Defense closed out Ole Miss with Hail Mary interception
  • Mississippi State offense stalled against SEC defenses
  • 3 of last 4 decided by a single score
  • Second late onside kick allowed this season
  • OG Goosby out, no timetable

Before anything else, Mississippi State has to figure out who plays quarterback. Kamario Taylor got hurt in the first quarter against Oklahoma, the second game in a row he's left that early. Billy Puckett, a former walk-on who started the LSU game, finished it. Over those 2 games the Bulldogs scored 15 points total, so whoever starts in Austin on Saturday, October 31 has a lot to fix. Texas has its own question to answer: can it finish a game cleanly? Of the Longhorns' last 4 wins and losses, 3 came down to a single score.

The Ole Miss win was closer than the 34-27 score looks. Ole Miss recovered an onside kick in the final minutes, the second time a Texas opponent has done that this season. The Rebels then got a Hail Mary off, and Jelani McDonald intercepted it to end the game. The win snapped Texas' first 2-game losing streak in 5 seasons. Both of those losses, to Oklahoma and Florida, were 27-24. The Longhorns are good enough to beat top-10 teams at home and loose enough to let anybody hang around late.

Oklahoma is the common opponent, and that comparison doesn't help Mississippi State. The Sooners beat Texas by 3. A week later they went to Starkville and put up a season-high 467 yards on the Bulldogs, with John Mateer throwing for a season-high 283. Mississippi State's defense has been the issue for most of October: 56 allowed to Alabama, 31 at LSU, then all that yardage against Oklahoma.

10/24LvsOklahoma15-23
10/17L@15LSU0-31
10/03Lvs10Alabama23-56
09/26Wvs23Missouri31-24
09/19W@South Carolina41-34
10/24Wvs12Ole Miss34-27
10/17Lvs17Florida24-27
10/10L@Oklahoma24-27
09/26W@16Tennessee20-17
09/20WvsUTSA30-6

A month ago Mississippi State looked like a different team. The Bulldogs won 41-34 at South Carolina and then beat Missouri 31-24 at home, and they were scoring plenty. Since then they've scored 23 against Alabama, 0 at LSU and 15 against Oklahoma, and the quarterback injuries line up with that drop. A healthy Taylor makes this a more interesting game than the last 3 results suggest. Without him, Mississippi State is a road team relying on a walk-on against a defense that just stopped a top-10 offense on the final play.

Texas has injuries of its own to watch. Guard T. Goosby is out with no timetable, DL C. Simmons (ankle) and WR D. McCutcheon (illness) have been questionable, and Mississippi State still has 2 receivers and its lead running back on its own list. The early forecast says around 80 degrees and cloudy with light wind, which shouldn't affect much. This game should be decided by Taylor's health and by whether Texas can keep a lead without another late scare.

Mississippi State vs. Texas: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Oct. 31) — Texas Hosts A Mississippi State Team Still Looking For A Quarterback