Navy Midshipmen at UAB Blazers

Sep 25, 20266:00 PM CTBirmingham, AL
By JR·2 min read
AT
6:00 PM CT

TLDR: Navy rolls into Birmingham a heavy favorite, but the guy who was supposed to be driving the option attack is on crutches of uncertainty, not the depth chart.

FRI SEP 25, 6:00 PM CT
Spread
WIN
Total
(1-1)
LWWWW
(1-2)
LWLWL
Kickoff80°

Navy is a double-digit road favorite over a UAB team that's lost 2 of its last 3, but the Midshipmen enter uncertain about who's actually taking snaps after starter Braxton Woodson's ankle injury against FAU. UAB's defense has shown it can be had, most notably in a season-opening 42-point outing against Illinois, while its own offense has been streaky through 3 games under first-full-year coach Alex Mortensen.

Navy
  • Ran for 200 yards, 3 TDs on Towson to open the year
  • Gutierrez sparked 3 scoring drives filling in vs. FAU
  • Starter Woodson's ankle still week-to-week with a bye behind it
  • Lost 30-38 to FAU, its lone Group of 5-caliber test
UAB
  • Found a 4th-quarter gear to beat Louisiana-Monroe
  • Mortensen has full-season continuity after taking over midyear
  • Defense allowed 42 points in the opener vs. Illinois
  • Dropped a winnable road game at Louisiana 14-21 last week

Braxton Woodson sprained his ankle against Florida Atlantic on September 12, and while the MRI came back clean, he's been labeled week-to-week ever since. Navy used its bye week to let the swelling go down and figure out whether Woodson or Jackson Gutierrez takes the first snap in Birmingham. Gutierrez isn't a total unknown — he came in cold against FAU and authored 3 scoring drives, 2 of them through the air.

Whoever lines up under center inherits a defense on the other side that's been generous. UAB got run off the field by Illinois 42-23 to open the year, and while the Blazers found a fourth-quarter gear to beat Louisiana-Monroe 26-20 the following week, they came right back down to earth with a 14-21 road loss at Louisiana. That's 3 games into Alex Mortensen's first full season as the permanent head coach, and the offense — quarterback Ryder Burton, workhorse back Rod Robinson II — has been inconsistent at best.

None of that inconsistency has kept the number from landing where you'd expect for a service academy against a rebuilding Group of 5 program: Navy is laying double digits, and the moneyline reflects a game the market doesn't think is particularly close.

09/12L@Florida Atlantic30-38
09/05WvsTowson42-15
01/02W@Cincinnati35-13
12/13WvsArmy17-16
11/28W@Memphis28-17
09/20L@Louisiana14-21
09/12WvsUL Monroe26-20
09/04L@Illinois23-42
11/29W@Tulsa31-24
11/22LvsSouth Florida18-48

Protective Stadium won't offer UAB much of an edge weather-wise — 77 degrees, mostly sunny, barely a breeze on kickoff night — so this comes down to whether Navy's option game can operate at full strength or whether Gutierrez is forced to grind out the clock with a run-heavy, mistake-averse script instead. Either way, the Midshipmen's ground attack put up 42 points and 200 rushing yards from Woodson alone against Towson, a sign of what the offense looks like when it's clicking.

  • OutB. Woodson (QB)Woodson is nursing with an ankle, and he will miss an extended period.09/15
Fully healthy — no injuries to report

UAB's defense will need a much better showing than it gave against Illinois if it wants to keep this from getting away early, and the Blazers haven't shown they can flip a switch on short notice. Navy, for its part, is banking on 5 days being enough to sort out its backfield before this one kicks off Friday, September 25.

Live Odds