Nevada Wolf Pack at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Sat Sep 19 · 6:00 PM CT
By Pablo SanchezUpdated 8d ago·2 min read
Nevada Wolf PackNEV
Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersMTSU
AT
6:00 PM CT

Nevada and Middle Tennessee both bottomed out at 3-9 last season, and this Week 3 meeting is a chance for one of them to prove last year was the outlier.

Bush’s Picks
NEVMTSU
NEVMTSU
OverUnder
Best BetMiddle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee gets the nod here mostly on continuity — Gagliano finished 2025 playing his best football and takes that momentum into a new season, while Nevada is still sorting out its starting quarterback three weeks before it steps into this game. Home field in Murfreesboro tips a coin-flip matchup between two 3-9 teams toward the Blue Raiders.

Nevada
  • Rebuilt o-line allowed just 18 sacks last year
  • deep running back room returns key producers
  • LaBarbera back as a proven edge disruptor
  • Finished 17.6 ppg, 9th-worst scoring offense in FBS
  • unsettled QB battle between Jones and Duncan
  • secondary rebuilding again after four departures
Middle Tennessee
  • Gagliano threw for 911 yards over final 3 starts
  • won 2 of last 3 games to close 2025
  • 11 players earned preseason all-conference honors
  • Also finished 2025 at just 3-9
  • new offensive coordinator brings its own uncertainty
  • defense losing pieces of its own front

Both programs are rebuilding around the same question: can the offense finally catch up to a defense that's held its own? Nevada averaged just 17.6 points per game in 2025, ninth-worst in the FBS, and head coach Jeff Choate has admitted he's scrapping his run-first identity to fix it. Middle Tennessee's issues were milder but still real, and by the time this one kicks off at 6:00 PM ET on Friday, September 19, both sides will have had three games to show whether the changes are sticking.

Nevada handed the keys to a new play-caller in Brett Bartolone, who arrives from Colorado, and the quarterback race between returning freshman starter Carter Jones and UCLA transfer Luke Duncan should be sorted out well before this trip to Murfreesboro. Jones threw six touchdowns against eight picks as a true freshman, so an offense that finished near the bottom of the country has nowhere to go but up if either passer takes a step forward.

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NEV Nevada
MTSU Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee's answer at quarterback might already be in hand. Roman Gagliano threw for 911 yards over his final three starts of 2025 and helped the Blue Raiders win two of them, enough to land him on the preseason all-conference team under new coordinator Anthony Scelfo. Add wideout Cam'ron Lacy and a defense that also picked up preseason honors for linebacker Reggie Johnson, and Middle Tennessee has more continuity heading into this one than a Nevada roster still figuring out its receiver room.

The trench battle could decide this game as much as anything. Nevada quietly built one of its stronger units up front last year, allowing just 18 sacks — fourth-fewest in the Mountain West — while clearing paths for three different backs to top 300 rushing yards. If that group holds up against a Blue Raiders front trying to replace pieces of its own, Nevada's ground game gives it a real path to staying competitive even if the passing game is still a work in progress.

Nevada Wolf Pack
Nevada Wolf Pack
Sep 12?vs Montana State
Sep 5?vs Western Kentucky
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Sep 12?@ Marshall
Sep 5?vs Murray State
Recent form.

Defensively, Nevada leans on end Dylan LaBarbera, who piled up 87 tackles, 17 for loss and 6.5 sacks last season and was the rare Wolf Pack starter who didn't hit the transfer portal. He'll need to be disruptive against a Middle Tennessee line trying to protect Gagliano and keep Lacy involved. Nevada's secondary, on the other hand, is being rebuilt again after four one-year starters departed, which is exactly the kind of soft spot a more experienced passing attack could exploit.

Nevada Wolf Pack
Nevada Wolf Pack
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Injury report — info via ESPN.

Neither team enters with much margin for error in a Conference USA-Mountain West crossover that won't move either side's bigger-picture goals much, but it's still an early measuring-stick game for two staffs trying to escape last place. Middle Tennessee gets the extra advantage of hosting, and if Gagliano's late-season form was real progress and not a mirage, the Blue Raiders should have the steadier quarterback play on the field.

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