New Mexico Lobos at Nevada Wolf Pack

Nov 6, 20268:00 PM CTCBSSNReno, NV
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: New Mexico is 4-0 in Mountain West play and goes into November with a 5-game win streak. Nevada is 3-5 and coming off a 27-0 loss at the Rose Bowl, so on Friday, November 6 at Mackay Stadium, the Wolf Pack get a chance to knock the league's hottest team down a peg.

FRI 11/06, 8:00 PM CT · Week 10CBSSN
LWLWL
Kickoff 56°

New Mexico (7-1, 4-0 Mountain West) visits Nevada (3-5, 2-2) having won 5 straight. The Lobos are leaning on Scottre Humphrey and a defense that hasn't allowed more than 18 points in any of its last 5 games, because injuries have gutted their receivers and tight ends. Nevada is coming off a 27-0 loss at UCLA full of turnovers, and the game will likely come down to whether the Wolf Pack can hold onto the ball long enough to test a Lobos offense that has scored exactly 21 points in each of its last 3 games.

New Mexico Lobos
  • Allowed 18 or fewer points in each of the last 5
  • Humphrey ran for 2 TDs at San José State
  • Defense picked off Weaver twice and held SJSU to 48 rushing yards
  • Offense stuck at 21 points 3 games running
  • 5 WRs/TEs out, along with QB Layne
  • Last 3 wins decided by 11, 5 and 5
Nevada Wolf Pack
  • Beat San José State 28-13 at Mackay
  • Put up 33 in the home loss to Air Force
  • Interception on the opening play and a pick-six at UCLA
  • Shut out 27-0 in their last game
  • Lost 31-17 at NDSU, a team New Mexico beat

The Lobos' last win was a grind: 21-16 at San José State, with Scottre Humphrey running for 2 touchdowns. The defense held Luke Weaver to 190 passing yards, picked him off twice and let the Spartans run for just 48 yards. It was also New Mexico's first win in San Jose since 1969, after 7 losses and a tie there. That says something about this team, which keeps finding ways to win games it used to lose.

The concern is on offense. New Mexico scored 42 on New Mexico State and 61 on UTEP, then 21 in each of its next 3 games: Hawai'i, North Dakota State and San José State. The injury report goes a long way toward explaining that. QB J. Layne has been out since August with an elbow injury. TEs T. Walsh and J. Olsen are both out, and so are WRs S. Miller, T. Omeire and A. Williams. That's 5 pass-catchers, and it's why the Lobos keep handing the ball to Humphrey and trusting the defense to protect a 1-score lead.

Nevada's offense played its worst game of the year in Pasadena. The Wolf Pack threw an interception on their very first play, which set up a UCLA field goal. Derrick Barksdale later returned another pick 26 yards for a touchdown, and Nevada never scored. Getting shut out by the No. 7 team in the country happens to plenty of Mountain West teams. Turning the ball over on the opening snap and throwing a pick-six is the part that should worry Nevada, because it showed up again in film the Lobos' secondary will study all week.

10/31W@San José State21-16
10/25WvsNorth Dakota State21-16
10/18W@Hawai'i21-10
10/03WvsUTEP61-7
09/26W@New Mexico State42-18
10/31L@5UCLA0-27
10/24WvsSan José State28-13
10/17L@North Dakota State17-31
10/10W@UTEP30-13
09/27LvsAir Force33-36

These 2 have 3 common opponents this year, and they mostly favor the visitors. New Mexico beat UTEP 61-7 at home, while Nevada won 30-13 in El Paso. The Lobos beat North Dakota State 21-16 in Albuquerque, while the Wolf Pack lost 31-17 in Fargo. San José State is the one that flips: Nevada's most convincing win was a 28-13 home win over the Spartans, a bigger margin than New Mexico managed in San Jose. Add in Nevada's 36-33 home loss to Air Force and you get a team that can score at Mackay and can't be counted on to stop anyone.

For Nevada, this is about getting back to .500 in conference play and saving a season that's slipping away. For New Mexico, it's about staying perfect in the Mountain West with a banged-up roster on a short week of travel. The early forecast calls for a cloudy, still night in the high 50s, which is about as calm as Reno gets in November. The matchup to watch is a Lobos offense that has to grind out every point against a Nevada team that has been giving away possessions.

Free Picks
New Mexico vs. Nevada: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Nov. 6) — Unbeaten-in-league New Mexico Heads to Reno to Face Reeling Nevada