The Western Kentucky win was a complete game for New Mexico State. They led 20-6 at the half, pulled away after that, and De'Marcus Peters added a pick-6. It was the Aggies' first Conference USA win of the year, and it means they've won their league opener before FIU has played its own. As of now there are no books on this game and no posted number.
Mercyhurst51-14
Long Island University20-3
The Aggies' bad weeks have been really bad, though. They lost 18-42 at home to New Mexico and dropped 19-29 at Hawai'i. Their 2 wins came against Mercyhurst and a Western Kentucky team they controlled from start to finish. Teams that got physical up front have pushed them around. FIU is the home team here, but it hasn't shown that kind of firepower either.
FIU's season has been close games and not much scoring. The Panthers scored 9 against South Florida and 10 against Florida Atlantic, both road losses. At home they've handled Buffalo and Long Island, and LIU managed only 3 points against that defense. FIU's 4 games have produced a combined 72 points for and 58 against, so the Panthers win by keeping games short and ugly.
Miami could help with that. As of October 2 the forecast is low 80s with light drizzle, a 67% chance of rain and about 10 mph of wind, and that's still 5 days out. A wet ball suits two offenses that already lean on the run. If it holds, expect the clock to keep moving and points to be hard to come by.