New Mexico State Aggies at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Sat Sep 12 · 10:59 PM CT
By Pablo SanchezUpdated 8d ago·2 min read
New Mexico State AggiesNMSU
Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsHAW
AT
10:59 PM CT

Hawai'i brings its CFP-buzz roster home to Honolulu, and New Mexico State looks like the wrong team to test it early.

Bush’s Picks
NMSUHAW
NMSUHAW
OverUnder
Best BetHawai'i

Hawai'i returns a 3,100-yard passer and a national-attention roster, while New Mexico State is still sorting out its starting quarterback. This isn't close on paper, and the gap in continuity alone makes the Rainbow Warriors the easy side to back here.

New Mexico State
  • TK King is a proven big-play receiver
  • Stanford transfer Libman adds a new weapon
  • Gethers and Aupiu anchor a returning front seven
  • Lost 6 of final 7 games in 2025
  • Unresolved quarterback competition entering opener
  • Second-lowest scoring offense in Conference USA last year
Hawai'i
  • Alejado back after 3,100-yard, 24-TD season
  • Deep receiver room in Ashlock and Uiliata
  • ESPN projects them as a Group of Five playoff team
  • Integrating a large wave of new transfers
  • Bowl-win expectations bring more pressure this year
  • Untested new-look offensive line early in season

This one has the shape of a get-right game for Hawai'i and a get-competitive game for New Mexico State. The Rainbow Warriors are coming off a 9-4 season and a bowl win, with sophomore quarterback Micah Alejado back after throwing for over 3,100 yards and 24 touchdowns. The Aggies, meanwhile, are trying to shake off a brutal finish to 2025 that saw them drop six of their final seven games.

Head coach Tony Sanchez enters year 3 in Las Cruces with his seat warming up. NMSU went a combined 7-17 under him the last two years and finished as the second-lowest scoring offense in Conference USA at 21.6 points a game, with the most turnovers in the league. A road trip to Honolulu to face a team with national ambitions isn't the spot to fix that.

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NMSU New Mexico State
HAW Hawai'i

Timmy Chang's group didn't just run it back — they reloaded. Hawai'i brought in transfers all over the roster, including former Washington receiver Audric Harris and three new offensive linemen, while keeping its top skill-position pieces in Pofele Ashlock (76 catches, 829 yards) and Tama Uiliata. ESPN's Bill Connelly has already penciled the Rainbow Warriors into a 12-team playoff projection as the top Group of Five team, which tells you where the bar is set for this program in 2026.

New Mexico State Aggies
New Mexico State Aggies
Sep 5?vs Mercyhurst
Aug 29?@ Florida State
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Sep 5?vs UNLV
Aug 29?@ Stanford
Recent form.

New Mexico State isn't without pieces. Wideout TK King is a legitimate playmaker who put up 588 yards and 3 touchdowns on 41 catches last season despite missing 4 games, and Stanford transfer Myles Libman gives the room another weapon. On defense, linebackers Tory Gethers and Sone Aupiu both return after combining for well over 100 tackles between them. The problem is the Aggies still haven't settled their quarterback room, with an open competition that could spill multiple bodies onto the field in the opener.

That kind of uncertainty under center is a brutal thing to bring into a road environment against a team that already knows exactly who its guy is. Hawai'i's identity is built around Alejado slinging it to a deep receiver room, and this is exactly the type of game a rebuilding roster is supposed to circle as a measuring stick — even if the final score doesn't do them any favors.

New Mexico State Aggies
New Mexico State Aggies
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Injury report — info via ESPN.
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